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Prediction markets for Census Bureau
US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028
Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM
22.11%chance
910947
OptionVotes
18772
5327
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.92%chance
88602
OptionVotes
6815
976
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?
Feb 15, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29%chance
183859
OptionVotes
2603
1623
Will real median income for family households in the US be higher in 2028 than in 2024?
Nov 14, 2:58 AMSep 21, 6:59 AM
64.6%chance
51548
OptionVotes
1351
740
Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?
Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
51.26%chance
18582
OptionVotes
1000
975
OptionVotes
1317
759
OptionVotes
1216
807
Will Greater Dubai overtake Greater Chicago in population size before EOY 2035?
Jul 28, 7:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.38%chance
6345
OptionVotes
1195
862
Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?
Apr 7, 11:35 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM
57.41%chance
437
OptionVotes
116
86
Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 25 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027?
Apr 7, 11:36 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM
56.94%chance
115
OptionVotes
115
87
Will US rhenium net import reliance exceed 82% in the year ending December 2029?
Apr 7, 11:40 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM
47.45%chance
215
OptionVotes
105
95
Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029?
Apr 7, 11:37 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM
56.94%chance
115
OptionVotes
115
87