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Prediction markets for Census Bureau
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?
May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9%chance
67323
OptionVotes
5645
1076
US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028
Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM
39.13%chance
74647
OptionVotes
12472
8018
Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?
Feb 15, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29%chance
163670
OptionVotes
2603
1623
Will real median income for family households in the US be higher in 2028 than in 2024?
Nov 14, 2:58 AMSep 21, 6:59 AM
64.6%chance
51548
OptionVotes
1351
740
OptionVotes
1248
802
Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?
Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
50.97%chance
16382
OptionVotes
1005
970
Will Greater Dubai overtake Greater Chicago in population size before EOY 2035?
Jul 28, 7:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.38%chance
6345
OptionVotes
1195
862
If I move to D.C., will I find someone to seriously date within 6 months?
Oct 10, 5:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
41.63%chance
8171
OptionVotes
484
474
Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?
May 3, 5:37 PMFeb 3, 4:59 AM
51.56%chance
17146
OptionVotes
1011
987
What will the US Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) rate be in 2027?
Feb 23, 2:14 AMDec 29, 4:59 AM
62.56%chance
150
OptionProbability
150
42
What will the US child poverty rate (SPM, under 18) be in 2025?
Feb 23, 2:14 AMDec 29, 4:59 AM
64.49%chance
150
OptionProbability
150
53
US Supplemental Poverty Measure rises from 2024 to 2025?
Sep 10, 11:23 AMOct 1, 10:59 PM
44.75%chance
235
OptionVotes
111
90