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Top stories

US New-Home Sales Ease as Prices Slide and Mortgage Rates Reach 10-Month Low

US New-Home Sales Ease as Prices Slide and Mortgage Rates Reach 10-Month Low

Authors

26

10 months ago

Noem Says 1.6 Million Undocumented Migrants Left U.S. as ICE Deportations Rise

US Domestic Policy

Noem Says 1.6 Million Undocumented Migrants Left U.S. as ICE Deportations Rise

Authors

12

10 months ago

US Goods Trade Deficit Jumps to $104 Billion on July Import Surge

US Goods Trade Deficit Jumps to $104 Billion on July Import Surge

Authors

5

10 months ago

New Zealand Services Gauge Rises to 48.9 as U.S. Retail Sales Firm

Authors

4

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Census Bureau

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.18%chance

77331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5565

1084

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

39.13%chance

74647

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12472

8018

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

Feb 15, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

163670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2603

1623

Will real median income for family households in the US be higher in 2028 than in 2024?

Nov 14, 2:58 AMSep 21, 6:59 AM

64.6%chance

51548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1351

740

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.05%chance

17482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1105

875

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Aug 7, 4:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

12417

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

816

Will Greater Dubai overtake Greater Chicago in population size before EOY 2035?

Jul 28, 7:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.38%chance

6345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

862

Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?

May 3, 5:37 PMFeb 3, 4:59 AM

47.2%chance

18246

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

901

Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?

Apr 7, 11:35 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.83%chance

226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will US rhenium net import reliance exceed 82% in the year ending December 2027?

Apr 7, 11:39 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will US rhenium net import reliance exceed 62% in the year ending December 2029?

Apr 7, 11:40 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Will US rhenium net import reliance exceed 62% in the year ending December 2027?

Apr 7, 11:38 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

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