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Top stories

US New-Home Sales Ease as Prices Slide and Mortgage Rates Reach 10-Month Low

US New-Home Sales Ease as Prices Slide and Mortgage Rates Reach 10-Month Low

Authors

26

1 year ago

Noem Says 1.6 Million Undocumented Migrants Left U.S. as ICE Deportations Rise

US Domestic Policy

Noem Says 1.6 Million Undocumented Migrants Left U.S. as ICE Deportations Rise

Authors

12

1 year ago

US Goods Trade Deficit Jumps to $104 Billion on July Import Surge

US Goods Trade Deficit Jumps to $104 Billion on July Import Surge

Authors

5

1 year ago

New Zealand Services Gauge Rises to 48.9 as U.S. Retail Sales Firm

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Census Bureau

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2030?

May 30, 8:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.18%chance

87352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5565

1084

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

34.52%chance

85947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13772

7261

Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035?

Feb 15, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29%chance

183859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2603

1623

Will real median income for family households in the US be higher in 2028 than in 2024?

Nov 14, 2:58 AMSep 21, 6:59 AM

64.6%chance

51548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1351

740

Will New York City's population be at least as high in 2030 as it was in 2020?

Oct 7, 12:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.05%chance

17482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1105

875

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Aug 7, 4:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

12417

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

816

Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?

May 3, 5:37 PMFeb 3, 4:59 AM

42%chance

19371

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1216

807

Will Greater Dubai overtake Greater Chicago in population size before EOY 2035?

Jul 28, 7:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.38%chance

6345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1195

862

Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2026?

Apr 7, 11:35 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

57.41%chance

437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

86

Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 25 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027?

Apr 7, 11:36 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Will US rhenium net import reliance exceed 82% in the year ending December 2029?

Apr 7, 11:40 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

47.45%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 35 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029?

Apr 7, 11:37 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.94%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

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