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Center for AI Safety News
Prediction markets for Center for AI Safety
Prediction markets for Center for AI Safety
7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.
Dec 28, 11:31 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4.9%
chance
31
6987
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4412
227
Is FiveThirtyNine AI better than Metaculus?
Sep 10, 5:42 AM
Sep 17, 8:59 PM
5.81%
chance
23
3589
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4027
248
Will the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?
Mar 27, 3:22 AM
Feb 1, 11:59 AM
6.81%
chance
9
2795
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3699
270
Will CAISI have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?
Jul 2, 11:55 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
77%
chance
9
1676
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1830
547
Will the Kennedy Center be demolished during Trump's presidency?
Sep 19, 11:46 AM
Jan 20, 12:00 PM
32%
chance
15
152
Option
Votes
YES
NO
146
69
Will the US launch a Manhattan Project / Apollo Program for AI safety by EOY 2030?
Jun 21, 10:17 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
40.34%
chance
6
35
Option
Votes
YES
NO
122
82
Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028?
Jun 18, 3:10 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
44.36%
chance
1
12
Option
Votes
YES
NO
112
89
Will a round of the WRC be planned to take place in the USA in 2027?
Aug 27, 9:22 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
54.75%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
110
91
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