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Center for AI Safety News
Prediction markets for Center for AI Safety
Prediction markets for Center for AI Safety
3. Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a messy falling-out. This will have meaningful consequences for the world of AI.
Dec 27, 8:14 AM
Jan 3, 10:59 PM
71.69%
chance
66
20117
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1591
628
Will the US government require AI labs to run safety/alignment evals by 2025?
Mar 21, 11:49 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
6.2%
chance
48
5169
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3629
570
Is FiveThirtyNine AI better than Metaculus?
Sep 10, 5:42 AM
Sep 17, 8:59 PM
6.55%
chance
22
3339
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3777
265
Will "🇫🇷 Announcing CeSIA: The French Center for ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Sep 23, 11:20 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
4.78%
chance
3
1750
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2750
848
Large anti-AI protest in a Western country by EOY2025?
Jun 6, 12:34 PM
Dec 31, 1:32 PM
11.45%
chance
8
203
Option
Votes
YES
NO
278
36
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