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Top stories

Senator Cynthia Lummis Says Senate Will Pass Crypto Market-Structure Bill This Year Backed by Trump; CBDC Ban Added to Defense Bill

Senator Cynthia Lummis Says Senate Will Pass Crypto Market-Structure Bill This Year Backed by Trump; CBDC Ban Added to Defense Bill

Authors

22

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Central Bank Digital Currencies

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

Apr 21, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.93%chance

102438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1944

515

Will Amazon accept any cryptocurrency in any country before 2030?

Feb 22, 8:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.44%chance

282125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

937

916

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.6%chance

171639

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2026

494

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2028?

Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10%chance

211613

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2047

791

Will the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?

Apr 5, 6:48 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

13.78%chance

261261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1465

902

Will a retail CBDC (central bank digital currency) go live in the USA and become available for public use before 2031?

Sep 6, 1:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.33%chance

241227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1517

626

Will the U.S. have a central bank digital currency by 2030?

Mar 23, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.35%chance

12775

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1576

548

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2033?

Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.37%chance

20708

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1071

941

Will the UK have a central bank digital currency by the end of 2027?

Feb 7, 4:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.85%chance

12427

OptionVotes

YES

NO

466

140

Will the United States have an official central bank digital currency by the end of 2038?

Apr 5, 6:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47%chance

17311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

904

"Britcoin" by 2030?

Feb 10, 1:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

14277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

974

Manifold have a central bank and I am chairman by 2030?

Jun 16, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.85%chance

6253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

287

35

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