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Top stories

Pope Leo XIV Hails UK–Mauritius Pact, Backs Chagossians’ Right to Return

Authors

5

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Chagos

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2158150

OptionProbability

No

Yes

97

3

Will the UK acquire a fusion reactor before 2031?

Feb 18, 12:56 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

23.4%chance

191629

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1046

724

Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?

Feb 7, 9:41 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

91401

OptionProbability

Mauritius

United Kingdom

United States

A new independent "Chagos Islands" country or countries

They will be underwater / won't exist

Other

China

Maldives

58

15

7

5

5

4

3

2

Will the .io ccTLD be deleted from the root by 2050?

Oct 5, 1:11 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

41.53%chance

171205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1187

843

Will the .io ccTLD be substantially affected by the cession of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius?

Oct 11, 2:43 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

30.12%chance

11954

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1523

657

Will Trump veto the UK's Chagos Islands deal?

Feb 4, 7:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

15.74%chance

7326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

231

43

Will China open a military facility in the Chagos Islands before 2040?

Oct 7, 8:46 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

20%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Do you think that the UK should give the Chagos Islands to Mauritius, under the currently tabled deal?

Jan 15, 7:45 PM

140

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