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Chain GPT News
Prediction markets for Chain GPT
Prediction markets for Chain GPT
Will the US require purchasers of large numbers of GPUs to report their usage before 2026?
May 16, 3:19 PM
Dec 31, 8:00 PM
18.08%
chance
26
3762
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1473
835
Will Manifold do a crypto airdrop before Jan 1st, 2028?
Mar 26, 9:17 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
33.95%
chance
17
2695
Option
Votes
NO
YES
334
194
Size of smallest open-source LLM marching GPT 3.5's performance in 2025? (GB)
Apr 6, 2:10 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
8
2018
Will "large reasoning models" significantly outperform traditional LLMs in creative writing by 2026?
Jan 11, 7:11 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
40.28%
chance
14
1633
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1218
821
When will a language model be fine-tuned via self-play or expert iteration and achieve significant performance increase?
Dec 17, 4:47 PM
Jan 1, 4:47 PM
12.92%
chance
14
272
Option
Probability
NO
YES
1001
976
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