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Channel 12 News
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Middle East
War
US Foreign Policy
Israel's Dermer Meets Syrian, Qatari Officials in Paris on Border, Gaza Talks
Authors
4
1 year ago
Prediction markets for Channel 12
Prediction markets for Channel 12
GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
Feb 27, 12:20 AM
Nov 1, 9:41 PM
55.35%
chance
18
3221
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1152
769
Will I work 9/9/6 for the rest of 2026?
Jun 29, 5:51 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
21.04%
chance
20
2528
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1937
516
Will hemp-derived CBN sleep products still be federally legal as “hemp” on Nov 12, 2026?
Nov 13, 4:55 AM
Nov 12, 4:47 AM
60.46%
chance
10
2373
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1237
809
Netflix announces project about October 2025 Louvre heist before 2027?
Oct 20, 5:30 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
19.09%
chance
17
906
Option
Votes
YES
NO
206
49
Will "Fail safe(r) at alignment by channeling rewar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
May 24, 4:22 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
9.22%
chance
2
510
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1500
936
Will Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 28, 2026?
Sep 14, 5:52 AM
Sep 27, 11:59 PM
57%
chance
1
32
Option
Votes
NO
YES
132
66
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