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Prediction markets for Character

By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?

Dec 2, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.56%chance

18677553

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2497

1461

When will a Claude model think faster than its Pokemon character can take steps?

Dec 26, 9:30 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

1511432

OptionProbability

January 2029 or earlier

June 2028 or earlier

January 2028 or earlier

June 2027 or earlier

January 2027 or earlier

June 2026 or earlier

63

54

42

28

9

5

Will we believe that AI character bots make it harder for kids to form human friendships by 2028?

Oct 15, 11:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.7%chance

695136

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

952

Audible sells books narrated by AI voice replacements of celebrities or characters before 2029

Jun 11, 2:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.84%chance

351327

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1349

898

California allows non-alphanumeric characters in plates

Aug 24, 12:33 AMSep 1, 6:59 AM

8.57%chance

201292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2188

800

Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character?

Jul 1, 4:51 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30.96%chance

3938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1493

670

Will all characters in movie have an option to have a person's name "hover over" their name so that the face-blind can keep track of who is who, by 2027?

Feb 8, 7:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.25%chance

11211

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1114

959

Will an anime character modeled off of @repligate/janus be instantiated by nearcyan's Elysian labs by 2028

May 19, 11:30 PMDec 29, 4:59 AM

48.08%chance

4160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1039

962

Which of these characters will be playable in Dead by Daylight before 2029?

Jul 14, 7:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3121

OptionProbability

Pennywise

Predator

Candyman

Slenderman

M3GAN

Among Us

Outlast

Donnie Darko / Frank

Creature from the Black Lagoon

48

48

48

45

45

45

45

45

41

Will razib Khan or Jose Luis Ricon or Charles Chuck Johnson be a playable character in GTA7

Nov 26, 12:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

160

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will a character from a previous season die in Season 4 of The White Lotus?

Apr 7, 3:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.67%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1055

948

WILL THERE BE A DEEPFAKE OF JOSE LUIS RICON BEING MODDED INTO A GTA6 PLAYABLE CHARACTER BY EOY2035?

Dec 7, 1:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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