OptionProbability
Gunplay
Bond will be a man
Bond drives a car
Bond wears a suit/tuxedo
On screen fatalities
London will appear on screen
Car chase scene
Urban scene
Bond tells ≥1 joke
Blue-eyed Bond
Bond introduces himself as "Bond, James Bond"
World capital other than London appears on screen
A vessel is shown on screen containing any of the following: ketchup, mustard, wasabi, soy sauce, hot sauce, beer, wine, whiskey, cologne, or sulfuric acid.
A named character speaks in a language other than English
Bond will attend a gala, soirée, ball, banquet, masquerade, black-tie event, cocktail party, fundraiser, awards ceremony, premiere, reception, or a charity auction.
Bond drinks a martini
Runtime of at least 2 hours/120 minutes.
Female and/or BIPOC director and/or producer
Opening action sequence
The Tower of London, Big Ben, Buckingham Palace, Wembley, or Heathrow appears on screen.
Gun Barrel Sequence
Sex scene
Q appears
Bond solves ≥ 1 problem non-violently
Hacking electronics of some form
Bond uses explosives
The plot will be predominantly set in present day
Bond disarms someone with a melee weapon using martial arts
The main theme song will be sung by a female
The film features a scene at a UNESCO World Heritage Site.
Fatal-if-missed aerial jump
A Bird (Avian) Will Appear Onscreen for >2 Seconds
Bond will shoot an inanimate object on purpose.
Asia will appear on screen
It will gross more worldwide than No Time to Die ($774M)
Someone goes through a pane of glass
A named character is a double (or triple, etc.) agent
"King" or "Queen" of England mentioned
Bond is on vacation (is shown somewhere for enjoyment, without purpose for his mission)
Someone in the movie says the title
@HenriThunberg enjoys the film
It will feature ≥1 actor that was part of No Time to Die
The villain will use or work in the field of artificial intelligence.
>= 7.0 IMDB rating 1 year after release
The villain is played by an actor who had a lead or recurring role on a prestigious television series that aired on either AMC or HBO.
Actor who plays Bond at least 6' (183 cm) tall
South America, Africa, or Australia will appear on screen
The words "James Bond will return" appear on screen during or after the credits.
Bond rides a motorcycle
>=85 on Tomatometer 1 month after US release
Critics will say it's a return to classic bond
A sniper rifle is fired
At least a portion filmed in Canada
There will be a scene with wagering, gambling or betting
Bond wields a Walther PPK
Interracial sex scene
Pegasus, Phoenix, Griffin, Unicorn, Kraken, Minotaur, Medusa, Cyclops, Sphinx, Kitsune, Chimera, or Thunderbird (any visual representation)
Jungle / forest scene
Bond flys an aircraft
James Bond disobeys orders from MI6 or the British government
Bond attends a soccer match, cricket game, rugby match, boxing/MMA fight, tennis match, e-sport event, the Olympics, a carnival or fair, the opera, or a horse race.
Casino game scene
Bond parachutes
It passes the Bechdel test (two named women talk the each other about anything besides a man)
Bond wears shorts
Bond pays for something by leaving money on a table and walking off without the recipient of the money present
>=7.5 on IMDB 1 month after US release
Arctic scene
Someone uses a euphemism to order a killing
Bond gets slapped
M will be played by Ralph Fiennes
Prison/jail scene
Black market trafficking
A single large explosion occurs on screen at the same time as Bond, and he doesn't look at it
Someone climbs around on the outside of a building
Released in 2028
Skydiving
The main character will order a “Vodka Martini, shaken, not stirred” using that exact phrase.
A Gulf kingdom will appear on screen (e.g. Dubai)
Bond licks something
Bond and a pond shown on screen together
someone combs or brushes their hair (or the hair of another person)
Bond in bondage (not necessarily sexual)
Bond slaps someone
A scene shows James Bond naked
Bond puts something phallic-shaped in his mouth
Bond is violent toward a woman (e.g. painful pulling, slap, throat grip...)
Someone speaks a verbal password phrase to verify their identity, gain access to a location, etc.
There will be a voiced character that is an AI
Bond rides a bicycle
Torture
James Bond talks to a woman while playing a card game.
Bond receives a gunshot wound
A visible countdown clock, which if it reaches zero something bad happens
Wilhelm scream
Main villain has a visible physical defect (scar, handicap, missing limb, ...)
The title will refer to life and/or death
@brunoparga correctly guesses a pun beforehand
Bond plays craps, roulette, or blackjack
Bond drives a boat
A jet ski or snowmobile gets airborne
Someone is shot with a tranquilizer dart or other nonlethal incapacitating projectile (getting wounded with a potentially lethal weapon doesn't count)
James Bond plays poker
Bond commits arson
Oral sex
Bond smokes a cigarette/cigar
Tom Hardy, Cillian Murphy, or Zendaya appear on screen
Martini and a bikini shown on screen at the same time
Bond has facial hair
Terrorists
US premier date is moved forward at least once (has to be numbered date, "summer 2026" doesn't count)
Someone carries a gun disassembled in a nondescript case
A safe is cracked (any means possible)
Actor who plays Bond is a US citizen
Rolex, Aston Martin, Bollinger Champaign product placements (all three)
Desert scene
The ending pitches a next movie (continued story, introduction of villain, venegance, ...)
A pandemic or biological warfare will be a central plot
Ski chase scene
Drug use
Someone/something is x-rayed
Thunderstorm
Dessert scene
An actor who previous played a Bond villain appears (as either a new or recurring character)
President of the United States is mentioned
IF the main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot, this pet is a horse...
Robots
Death of a Bond love interest
It refers to the transition between two British monarchs (Elizabeth, Charles and/or others)
Bond will have a hot, young, American sidekick
Theme song will be performed by a band (more than one artist. Duran Duran did it, so there is precedent.)
There will be a promotional event in Fortnite
Bond throws food, darts, or a Molotov cocktail
Bond wears a mask
Sharks
Cocaine or caviar appears on screen
Bond will be in a submarine
James Bond plays baccarat
Scene with Bond wearing a hat and sunglasses
Cryptocurrency is referenced
Bond complains about the quality of an alcoholic beverage
Bond is LQBTQ+
James games (Bond plays any video game, table top board game, or role-playing game) *chess counts, casino games don't
Main villain speaks Russian on screen
Bond has a disability
Bond plays golf, tennis, or croquet
Bond claims to have retired / quit from the world of espionage
Mexico is shown on screen
Jetpack
The movie will be set during the Cold War (1947-1991)
Bond rides an animal
Nazis (neo- counts)
An EMP device plays a central role.
Climate change/global warming is explicitly mentioned
At least one named character below 18 years old
Canada is shown on screen
Orgy
Will feature something that can turn invisible
Moscow, Kyiv, or Paris shown on screen
Underwater combat
Bond goes to space
The word "fuck" is said more than once.
With all this speculation about which kinds of sex acts will be shown, I'm surprised nobody has said it yet, so I'll say it: 𝕓𝕠𝕟𝕕𝕒𝕘𝕖
Bond beds a "lady of the night" (ie. He fucks a prostitute)
Bond is blond
Features a shot with someone lowering a newspaper, magazine or book, revealing they had been surreptitiously spying on someone
Someone sees something incredible, and implicitly ascribes it to alcohol (traditionally, by looking at the bottle)
A hamburger appears on screen
Theme song is performed by Taylor Swift
A previous Bond actor appears (as either a new or recurring character)
Assplay
Trans character - explicity stated they are trans, no ambiguity (must be on screen for min. 7 seconds and say at least 3 words)
Bond plays Russian roulette
Bond uses a VR headset
Bond has a neck tattoo
Aaron Taylor-Johnson plays Bond
The main villain has a pet that plays a significant role in the plot.
Revealed that "James Bond" has always been a code name.
fight featuring at least one of: viper, mongoose, someone with one of those as their code name
A pinball machine will appear.
Gay sex scene
Party and play (PnP), also known as chemsex, scene
Pirates
Emilia Clarke portrays a character
A character has the codename "Fat Rascal"
Someone asks for payment in "small, unmarked bills" or "negotiable bearer bonds" (wording need not be exact)
Theme song is performed by The Weeknd
San Francisco is shown on screen
Pegging
Another character coincidentally has the first name "James" or surname "Bond" (or both)
Horse cock on screen (flaccid)
Someone uses the word "clip" to refer to a magazine
Satanism
Bond consumes more than 1.5 loads of jizz
A clocks shows the time 4:20
It will be described as featuring AI, such as claims that is uses “AI actors”, as reported by entertainment media.
Feature Nightcore music
Bond uses chopsticks
Supernatural entities
There will be a character codenamed "Fat Rascal" and they will be played by an American
ChatGPT is referenced by any character
Released in 2026
Nuclear explosion
Desert dessert scene (e.g. eating an ice cream in the Sahara)
Any character says the word "anime"
Bond has a mustache (no other facial hair)
Vampires
Bond vapes
Bond won't be Caucasian
The main character will order a “café mocha, double double” using that exact phrase.
Bond dies
Scat play
Bond does depraved sexual acts for money (e.g., bukakke, public gang bangs, period play, etc.)
Contains a joke or indirect reference to the "last night I Bond Burgered your sister" meme
Horse cock on screen (erect)
Prediction markets, origami, or the word "manifold" appear in the movie.
Bond will say the line about snakes on a plane, but only as a metaphor (with snakes representing penises and the plane being his ass).
The handkerchief code is a major plot element
James Bond will say, "I'm rational, rationalussy."
Bond is vegan
The fourth wall is broken
It will be directed by a woman
Bond plays League of Legends
Destiny appears on screen
Bond says, “Enough is enough! I have had it with these motherfucking snakes on this motherfucking plane!”
Dragons
Dinosaurs
It will be directed by Christopher Nolan
Bond hits the griddy
98
97
97
96
95
95
94
93
91
91
90
90
90
90
89
87
87
86
85
85
84
83
82
80
77
77
76
75
72
72
70
69
69
69
68
68
68
65
62
60
60
59
59
59
58
58
57
57
56
55
55
55
54
53
53
53
53
52
51
50
50
50
49
49
49
49
48
48
48
46
45
45
45
45
45
45
45
43
43
43
43
43
42
41
41
39
39
39
38
38
38
37
37
37
37
37
36
36
36
35
35
35
34
34
33
32
32
32
32
32
32
32
31
31
30
30
30
29
29
29
29
29
28
28
28
28
27
26
26
25
25
25
25
25
24
24
23
23
23
23
23
22
22
21
21
21
21
20
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
17
17
16
16
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
13
13
12
12
11
11
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
NVIDIA
Alphabet (Google)
Apple
Microsoft
Amazon
SpaceX
Anthropic
TSMC
OpenAI
Broadcom
Meta (Facebook)
Tesla
Saudi Aramco
Berkshire Hathaway
Eli Lilly
Visa
JPMorgan Chase
Walmart
UnitedHealth
Novo Nordisk
94
89
84
73
40
37
30
28
26
17
13
11
7
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
Andrew Tate will be charged for Human trafficking in Romania or UK
Andrew Tate returns to UK to face criminal charges in 2026
Tristan Tate charged with human trafficking in Romania or UK
Andrew Tate convicted in UK civil trial for sexual abuse or coercive control
Andrew Tate appeals UK civil trial verdict in 2026
Andrew Tate faces new trial for match fixing after loosing in front of Chase Demoor
Andrew Tate receives prison sentence in 2026
Tristan Tate receives prison sentence in 2026
Andrew Tate flees to US
Andrew Tate remains in United States throughout 2026
65
61
53
50
50
45
45
45
37
17
OptionProbability
Gavin Newsom
Pete Buttigieg
Cory Booker
Marco Rubio
Kamala harris
Thomas Massie
Tommy Tuberville
Tucker Carlson
Chase Oliver
Donald Trump
James talarico
John Fetterman
Mary Peltola
Pope Leo XIV
Graham Platner
Joe Biden
77
76
66
61
57
50
36
36
34
28
25
24
24
19
15
13
OptionProbability
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Joey Logano OUT FINISH Ryan Blaney?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Tyler Reddick OUT FINISH Chase Elliott?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Chris Buescher OUT FINISH Ty Gibbs?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will William Byron OUT FINISH Ryan Blaney?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler Reddick OUT FINISH Joey Logano?
03/08 (Phoenix) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH Chase Elliott?
03/01 (Austin) - Will Shane van Gisbergen OUT FINISH A. J. Allmendinger?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Ryan Preece OUT FINISH Christopher Bell?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Ross Chastain OUT FINISH Austin Cindric?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Austin Cindric?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Noah Gragson OUT FINISH Austin Dillon?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Kyle Busch) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Chase Briscoe)?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Joey Logano) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Chase Elliott)?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Austin Dillon) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Kyle Larson)?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside' ?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside' ?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 9 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 9 Outside' ?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Austin Dillon) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Corey LaJoie)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' (John Hunter Nemechek) OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside' (Brad Keselowski)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' (Ryan Blaney) OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside' (William Byron)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' (Cole Custer) OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside' (Cody Ware)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 9 Inside' (AJ Allmendinger) OUT FINISH 'Row 9 Outside' (Ross Chastain)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 10 Inside' (Shane van Gisbergen) OUT FINISH 'Row 10 Outside' (Daniel Suarez)?
02/22 (Autotrader 400) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/22 (Darlington) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler ReddickOUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler ReddickOUT FINISH Joey Logano?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Tyler ReddickOUT FINISH Ricky Stenhouse?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Chase ElliottOUT FINISH Ricky Stenhouse?
02/22 (Atlanta) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Brad Keselowski??
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside'?
03/29 (Cook Out 400) - Will Denny Hamlin OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/29 (Cook Out 400) - Will DWilliam Byron OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
05/31 (Nashville) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
06/14 (Pocono) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
06/28 (Sonoma) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
07/05 (Chicagoland) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
07/05 (Chicagoland) - Will Denny Hamlin OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
07/05 (Chicagoland) - Will Chris Buescher OUT FINISH Brad Keselowski?
09/18 (Bristol) - Will Denny Hamlin OUT FINISH Ryan Blaney?
11/08 (Miami) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
09/27 (Kansas) - Will Denny Hamlin OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
09/27 (Kansas) - Will Joey Logano OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
09/27 (Kansas) - Will Denny Hamlin OUT FINISH Joey Logano?
09/27 (Kansas) - Will Denny Hamlin OUT FINISH Christopher Bell?
09/27 (Kansas) - Will Christopher Bell OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
09/27 (Kansas) - Will Christopher Bell OUT FINISH Joey Logano?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Chris Buescher?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Tyler Reddick OUT FINISH Ty Gibbs?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH William Byron?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Chase Elliott OUT FINISH Austin Dillon?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH Chase Elliott?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Joey Logano OUT FINISH Tyler Reddick?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH Joey Logano?
03/08 (Phoenix) - Will Joey Logano OUT FINISH William Byron?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Bubba Wallace OUT FINISH Ross Chastain?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Austin Cindric OUT FINISH Ross Chastain?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Kyle Larson OUT FINISH William Byron?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Ty Gibbs OUT FINISH Chase Briscoe?
02/04 (Bowman Gray Clash) - Will Christopher Bell OUT FINISH Denny Hamlin?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Ryan Blaney) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Carson Hocevar)?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside' ?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 8 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 8 Outside' ?
02/15 (Daytona 500) - Will 'Row 10 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 10 Outside' ?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Kyle Busch) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Ryan Preece)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Corey Heim) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Alex Bowman)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Chris Buescher) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Joey Logano)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 8 Inside' (Jimmie Johnson) OUT FINISH 'Row 8 Outside' (Bubba Watson)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Chase Briscoe) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Denny Hamlin)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Kyle Larson) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Chase Elliott)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 1) - Will 'Row 11 Inside' (Chandler Smith) OUT FINISH 'Row 11 Outside' (Casey Mears)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Ty Gibbs) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Christopher Bell)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Justin Allgaier) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Austin Cindric)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' (Zane Smith) OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside' (Michael McDowell)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 6 Inside' (Connor Zilisch) OUT FINISH 'Row 6 Outside' (Erik Jones)?
02/12 (Daytona Duel 2) - Will 'Row 7 Inside' (Josh Berry) OUT FINISH 'Row 7 Outside' (Carson Hocevar)?
11/08 (Miami) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
03/01 (COTA) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/08 (Phoenix) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/29 (Cook Out 400) - Will Austin Dillon OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside'?
03/15 (Las Vegas) - Will Blaney OUT FINISH Reddick?
06/21 (Coronado) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?
06/21 (Coronado) - Will Shane van Gisbergen OUT FINISH Carson Hocevar?
09/18 (Bristol) - Will Denny Hamlin OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
09/18 (Bristol) - Will Ryan Blaney OUT FINISH Kyle Larson?
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Denny Hamlin
Ryan Blaney
Tyler Reddick
Christopher Bell
Ty Gibbs
Kyle Larson
Joey Logano
Chase Bricoe
Chase Elliott
Chris Beuscher
Daniel Suarez
Carson Hocevar
William Byron
Bubba Wallace
Austin Cindric
Ryan Preece
40
13
10
10
8
4
4
3
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
1.80 - 1.99
2.00 - 2.19
2.20 - 2.29
Below 1.80
2.30+
37
37
13
9
4
OptionVotes
NO
YES
179
56
OptionVotes
YES
NO
170
37
OptionVotes
NO
YES
144
82
