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Top stories

Elon Musk’s xAI Sought Zuckerberg’s Support for $97.4 Billion OpenAI Bid; Legal Battle Over Documents Ensues

Elon Musk’s xAI Sought Zuckerberg’s Support for $97.4 Billion OpenAI Bid; Legal Battle Over Documents Ensues

Authors

20

3 months ago

Prediction markets for ChatGPT

Bloomberg Odd Lots with Josh Wolfe: Will the field of Robotics have its "ChatGPT moment" by December 31, 2025?

Jan 7, 1:57 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2.81%chance

1279603195

OptionVotes

YES

NO

656217

28211

Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2025?

Dec 29, 5:17 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

78.13%chance

167101654

OptionVotes

NO

YES

18299

5855

5 years from now, will ChatGPT be seen as an "iPhone moment?"

Mar 27, 5:41 AMMar 28, 4:59 AM

86.71%chance

38852556

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2186

1516

ChatGPT reaches 1 billion monthly active users in 2025?

Aug 6, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.98%chance

6112362

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1831

546

TIME POTY: Gemini (YES) vs. ChatGPT (NO)

Dec 3, 2:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.31%chance

255225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1764

567

Will I think ChatGPT Pro is worth $200 by mid-December 2025?

Nov 17, 10:04 AMDec 16, 11:59 PM

74.57%chance

293147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1712

584

Will ChatGPT have ads before the end of 2026?

Dec 4, 3:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.68%chance

302101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1192

839

If I pay for a ChatGPT pro subscription, will it make me at least its cost back in value?

Jun 19, 10:08 PMJan 1, 11:05 PM

47.31%chance

81317

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1055

948

Will chatgpt stop calling itself a "chatbot" by 2027?

Jan 26, 9:18 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.08%chance

39892

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1143

691

Will chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?

Dec 6, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.7%chance

8805

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1325

755

Will Joe Biden have been debriefed about AI risks between chatGPT’s launch and the launch of GPT-4?

Mar 4, 9:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

38.64%chance

16515

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

101

Will ChatGPT make a profit after all markets have resolved?

Nov 25, 4:48 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM

35.94%chance

7377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1335

749

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