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Prediction markets for Check Point

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

25.75%chance

750336400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6522

3409

Will Lantern Bioworks's cavity-curing bioengineered S. mutans (Lumina) turn out to have horrible downsides by 2029?

Oct 8, 9:05 AMDec 16, 7:59 AM

5.45%chance

3619769

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11027

9758

🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️‍⚧️✨

Dec 31, 3:07 AMNov 2, 7:59 AM

60.02%chance

13813955

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1225

816

Will 1% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035

Jul 6, 12:09 AMJun 15, 11:59 PM

54.24%chance

65445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1089

918

Will 10% of any city (>1m pop) in the EU, UK, or US die in any year from disaster by mid 2035

Jul 5, 6:08 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

23.93%chance

143846

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1783

561

If someone launches a competitor to Manifold, will I judge it to have been at least as successful two years later?

Oct 21, 5:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.66%chance

251949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1129

936

Will Lorxus, the author of this market, be a winner of Tontine?

Mar 25, 4:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.83%chance

261906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1485

212

IRAdvocates v. Apple resolved by EOY 2028?

Nov 29, 12:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.89%chance

121323

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1728

579

Will Social Security become insolvent before 2040?

Jun 28, 4:48 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.57%chance

10851

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1236

809

Will I get my money back from the cruise casino?

Feb 7, 7:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.8%chance

8593

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1295

1115

Will Litecoin either drop below $50 or exceed $150 before the end of 2026?

Dec 13, 1:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.52%chance

2500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4180

3259

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

928

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