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Prediction markets for Chemicals

Will any chemical rocket engine reach 600 seconds of specific impulse by 2030?

Mar 22, 12:53 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

6.04%chance

172467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2687

766

Chemicals with unknown properties found to play large role in UFOs by 2050

Jun 7, 6:58 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

16.24%chance

13509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1171

944

Will the US Chemical Safety Board be eliminated by 2028?

Jun 24, 4:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.78%chance

8470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

215

47

In which of the following years will the net rate of chemical conversion of hydrogen into hydrocarbons be positive?

Nov 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8303

OptionProbability

2050

2040

2035

2030

35

26

21

17

Will Teflon or other related nonstick chemicals be effectively banned by law in the USA before the end of 2027?

Jun 29, 1:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.82%chance

14250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

37

In what year will Europe vote to ban PFAs ("forever chemicals")?

Aug 2, 7:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6204

OptionProbability

2023-2025

2026-2028

2032-2040

2029-2031

No ban before 2041

37

29

14

11

8

Will Teflon or other related nonstick chemicals be effectively banned by law in the USA before the end of 2026?

Jun 28, 8:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.33%chance

9147

OptionVotes

YES

NO

244

41

Will space travel still primarily be using chemical propulsion rockets by 2060?

Sep 23, 8:59 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

41.74%chance

798

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

122

Automated chemical synthesis to synthesize super rapalogs/mTOR inhibitors like TOR101 by EOY 2026, patents be damned

Nov 15, 8:26 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Relativistic quantum chemistry better defines Periodic-table deviations for chemicals 113 and higher by 2050

Jun 7, 6:43 AMJun 8, 3:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

NO

YES

50

50

[2k bounty] Reversible chemical reaction for heat storage of 2000kj/kg

Sep 16, 6:30 PM

00

"Life is a self-sustaining chemical system capable of Darwinian evolution."

Jun 15, 7:21 AM

60

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