Chemistry News

Can a neural net do end to end significant chemistry experiments before 2040?

Jun 22, 10:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

98%chance

2928380

OptionVotes

YES

3209

876

Will an AI get gold on this Olympiad by the end of 2025?

Apr 2, 4:16 AMMar 2, 11:59 PM

202164

OptionProbability

International Mathematical Olympiad

International Olympiad in Informatics

International Astronomy Olympiad

International Biology Olympiad

International Olympiad on Astronomy & Astrophysics

International Physics Olympiad

International Earth Science Olympiad

International Chemistry Olympiad

100

In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)

Jul 28, 1:21 PMJan 1, 2:08 PM

75.9%chance

14875

OptionProbability

YES

1795

801

Will Enceladus' hydrothermal vents be found to harbor life that is similar (i.e., ~ redox chemistry) to life on Earth's?

Aug 10, 2:42 AMOct 11, 6:30 PM

7713

OptionProbability

life will NOT even be found there in the first place.

NO, Life will be found and it will not have similar redox chemistry.

YES, Life will be found and it will have similar redox chemistry.

Will Lithium stop being the most popular rechargeable battery chemistry before 2100?

Jun 21, 3:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

70.19%chance

18415

OptionVotes

YES

1288

939

UFO special materials found to be caused because of relativistic quantum chemistry by 2040

Jun 7, 7:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.5%chance

6238

OptionVotes

YES

253

Quantum computer based in organic chemistry is created by 2050

Jun 8, 1:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32%chance

10186

OptionVotes

YES

1071

947

Will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems before 2030?

Oct 17, 2:54 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

25.47%chance

10161

OptionVotes

YES

350

164

When will Lithium stop being the #1 by USD market share rechargeable battery chemistry?

Sep 11, 1:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6153

OptionProbability

[2030-2035)

[2035-2040)

[2040-2050)

before 2030

[2050-2070)

[2070-2100)

not by 2100

Will Tesla significantly invest in new battery chemistry before a solid state battery EV is delivered in the US?

Jan 30, 9:24 PMFeb 7, 4:59 AM

59.84%chance

885

OptionVotes

YES

192

112

Will Matt Kaeberlein win The Nobel Prize in Physiology & Medicine (or Chemistry) by 2065?

Jan 22, 10:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.05%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

130

Relativistic quantum chemistry better defines Periodic-table deviations for chemicals 113 and higher by 2050

Jun 7, 6:43 AMJun 8, 3:59 AM

OptionProbability

YES

Chemistry News

Prediction markets for Chemistry

Prediction markets for Chemistry

Prediction markets for Chemistry

Can a neural net do end to end significant chemistry experiments before 2040?

Will an AI get gold on this Olympiad by the end of 2025?

In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)

Will Enceladus' hydrothermal vents be found to harbor life that is similar (i.e., ~ redox chemistry) to life on Earth's?

Will Lithium stop being the most popular rechargeable battery chemistry before 2100?

UFO special materials found to be caused because of relativistic quantum chemistry by 2040

Quantum computer based in organic chemistry is created by 2050

Will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems before 2030?

When will Lithium stop being the #1 by USD market share rechargeable battery chemistry?

Will Tesla significantly invest in new battery chemistry before a solid state battery EV is delivered in the US?

Will Matt Kaeberlein win The Nobel Prize in Physiology & Medicine (or Chemistry) by 2065?

Relativistic quantum chemistry better defines Periodic-table deviations for chemicals 113 and higher by 2050

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