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Prediction markets for Chief Marketing Officers

How many Iranians will be killed by it's regime in 2026?

Jan 11, 12:53 PMJan 12, 2:59 AM

446583

OptionProbability

40000+

20000-39999

10000-19999

6000-9999

3000 - 5999

2000- 2999

0 - 1999

53

25

10

6

4

1

0

Will fatal ICE shooting in the US occur again before March 2026?

Jan 26, 2:31 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

38.05%chance

412701

OptionVotes

YES

NO

873

289

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?

Jan 8, 10:03 AMMar 30, 11:59 PM

1.57%chance

121116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

792

13

Will Tim Cook step down as Apple CEO in 2026?

Nov 25, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13644

OptionProbability

No, Not in 2026

Yes, in Second Half (Jul–Dec)

Yes, in First Half (Jan–Jun)

Other

52

31

17

0

Polymarket's monthly March 2026 trading volume exceeds $3.4 billion?

Nov 20, 4:38 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

68.34%chance

12377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

147

68

Will any executive staff at Direct Relief be criminally charged by 2032?

Dec 25, 8:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.13%chance

5141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

126

Will Valerii Zaluzhnyi go into politics?

Jan 6, 10:03 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

78%chance

498

OptionVotes

NO

YES

134

31

Sarah Friar remains OpenAI CFO on January 1, 2027?

Nov 7, 12:03 PMJan 1, 12:03 PM

54.75%chance

250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Who will be elected as the first Los Angeles County Executive

Jul 24, 6:19 PMJan 1, 7:15 PM

110

OptionProbability

Rick Caruso

Lindsey Horvath

Other

No LA County Executive elected in 2028 for any reason

27

27

27

20

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