OptionVotes
NO
YES
1274
898
980
950
OptionProbability
High Inflation + Low GDP + High Unemployment (Stagflation)
Low Inflation + Low GDP
High Inflation + Normal GDP
Low Inflation + High GDP
Low GDP Only
All Metrics Within Normal Bounds
High Inflation + High GDP
High GDP Only
40
11
9
7
6
Inflation but no GDP abnormality
No abnormalities in inflation & GDP
Recession but no inflation abnormality
Yes on Stagflation (high inflation & recession)
High inflation and GDP growth
Deflation/low inflation and recession
High GDP but no inflation abnormality
Deflation/low inflation but no GDP abnormality
Deflation/low inflation & high GDP growth
22
20
17
5
4
3
136
91
107
94
115
87
