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Prediction markets for China IP

What will be the last iPhon to be made in China?

Jan 5, 10:41 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

73984

OptionProbability

iPhone 16

iPhone 18

iPhone 19+

iPhone 17

iPhone 15

39

28

28

4

1

Will China ban iPhones by the end of 2026?

Sep 14, 3:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.38%chance

162700

OptionVotes

NO

YES

974

774

Will China ban iPhones before 2030?

Dec 22, 9:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.28%chance

14325

OptionVotes

NO

YES

987

977

Will China ban iPhones before the end of 2025?

Nov 2, 7:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.47%chance

8285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

352

28

At the end of 2025, will TikTok be banned in more countries than Twitter (X) and Telegram combined?

Sep 5, 12:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.76%chance

680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

56

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