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Prediction markets for China Markets Regulator

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?

Jun 9, 2:12 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

60.65%chance

4765967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130486

84436

Which political party will be the "tough on AI" party?

Nov 11, 12:15 PMNov 8, 4:59 AM

14119925

OptionProbability

The Democratic Party

No clear polarization by close date

The Republican Party

A newly-prominent third party

78

14

8

0

Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027

Mar 19, 4:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.96%chance

131199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1689

592

Will Europe fall before Bitcoin?

Dec 12, 7:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.2%chance

8669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

455

China no propagation regulation to come into effect in July 2026?

Nov 26, 3:20 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

67.8%chance

5275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

145

69

Will a Chinese Airliner Break the Airbus/Boeing Duopoly Before 2030?

Dec 26, 8:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16.62%chance

8111

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

32

China's primary aluminium capacity exceeds 30% benchmark energy efficiency by 2027?

Nov 26, 3:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.24%chance

4101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

56

Will China's Dec 2025 export rules cut NdPr supply by more than 10% in H1 2026?

Feb 20, 6:09 AMAug 19, 6:09 AM

50.73%chance

199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

910

Will the COMAC C949 be supersonic?

Mar 31, 2:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.09%chance

347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

70

Will a 500k+ Chinese KOL get a publicly disclosed admin fine for posting professional content without credentials?

Dec 17, 7:26 AMDec 31, 7:25 AM

80%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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