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Prediction markets for China Markets Regulator

Which political party will be the "tough on AI" party?

Nov 11, 12:15 PMNov 8, 4:59 AM

14119925

OptionProbability

The Democratic Party

No clear polarization by close date

The Republican Party

A newly-prominent third party

78

14

8

0

F1: Who will win the 2026 Aramco Japanese Grand Prix?

Mar 16, 2:09 AMMar 30, 11:59 PM

191385

OptionProbability

🇬🇧 George Russell (Mercedes-AMG Petronas)

🇮🇹 Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes-AMG Petronas)

🇲🇨 Charles Leclerc (Scuderia Ferrari HP)

Other

🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton (Scuderia Ferrari HP)

🇬🇧 Oliver Bearman (TGR Haas)

🇬🇧 Lando Norris (McLaren Mastercard)

🇫🇷 Pierre Gasly (BTW Alpine)

47

28

8

6

5

2

2

2

Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027

Mar 19, 4:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.64%chance

10746

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

680

Will Europe fall before Bitcoin?

Dec 12, 7:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.2%chance

8669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

455

China no propagation regulation to come into effect in July 2026?

Nov 26, 3:20 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

67.95%chance

4239

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

69

Will a Chinese Airliner Break the Airbus/Boeing Duopoly Before 2030?

Dec 26, 8:42 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

15.74%chance

7110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

162

31

China's primary aluminium capacity exceeds 30% benchmark energy efficiency by 2027?

Nov 26, 3:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.24%chance

4101

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

56

Will China's Dec 2025 export rules cut NdPr supply by more than 10% in H1 2026?

Feb 20, 6:09 AMAug 19, 6:09 AM

50.73%chance

199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

910

Will the COMAC C949 be supersonic?

Mar 31, 2:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.09%chance

347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

70

Will a 500k+ Chinese KOL get a publicly disclosed admin fine for posting professional content without credentials?

Dec 17, 7:26 AMDec 31, 7:25 AM

80%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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