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Top stories

Minnesota and Nevada Sue TikTok, Kik Over Youth Safety Risks

Minnesota and Nevada Sue TikTok, Kik Over Youth Safety Risks

Authors

4

4 months ago

Vivo Shows $1,400 MR Headset as Meta Preps $800 Smart Glasses

Vivo Shows $1,400 MR Headset as Meta Preps $800 Smart Glasses

Authors

33

4 months ago

Prediction markets for China

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

May 24, 1:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.58%chance

904510910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16189

11566

China's rebar failure rate below 20% in 2025 national quality check?

Nov 26, 6:18 AMJul 29, 10:59 PM

82.8%chance

68160908

OptionVotes

NO

YES

219379

45583

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Oct 5, 1:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21%chance

502150372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3140

2098

China blockades Taiwan in 2025? (media reports)

Jan 14, 7:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1.72%chance

7395952

OptionVotes

YES

NO

91931

4159

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Nov 12, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

55.99%chance

27893250

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2472

1266

US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?

Apr 7, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.27%chance

5986466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

47365

2111

Will Taiwan de facto be controlled by China before 2026 according to Western media?

Jan 28, 6:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2.39%chance

3376158

OptionVotes

YES

NO

54440

6835

Will China have the best open LLM at EOY?

Mar 12, 7:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

92.6%chance

18550085

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3537

283

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50.91%chance

9443785

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

921

Is China’s LVA Surgery a legitimate treatment for Alzheimer’s?

Nov 23, 6:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.19%chance

4533852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33693

3290

China's 70-city new home price index YoY change for December 2025 >= -2.0%?

Nov 26, 6:05 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

40.83%chance

32393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12039

8306

China's 70-city new home price index for January 2026 ≥ -2.0% YoY?

Nov 26, 6:08 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

56.37%chance

41397

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11367

8797

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