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SoftBank Invests $2 Billion in Intel as U.S. Negotiates 10% Stake
Authors
80
16 hours ago
Prediction markets for CHIPS
Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?
Jan 30, 9:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
23.89%chance
26333107
OptionVotes
2999
2076
OptionProbability
67
11
6
5
5
3
3
Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?
Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
38.33%chance
11317915
OptionVotes
14461
8011
Will the USA have 20% or more of advanced logic chip production by 2032?
May 13, 5:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
49.6%chance
174959
OptionVotes
1033
967
US bans TSMC from selling advanced AI chips to all Chinese companies in 2025?
Apr 20, 2:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.57%chance
211481
OptionVotes
1093
915
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
Apr 10, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
24.86%chance
28693
OptionVotes
2160
1924
OptionVotes
1193
838
Did the "Chinese spy chip" reported by Bloomberg ever exist?
Aug 10, 2:04 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
27.25%chance
22545
OptionVotes
1137
934
OptionVotes
1511
662
US export restrictions lead to reported large-scale AI chip theft by end of 2026
Jan 16, 8:15 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
52.72%chance
6541
OptionVotes
1056
947
Will a top-100 chess player accuse another top-100 player of cheating at chess using a brain chip by EOY 2034 ?
Apr 20, 6:12 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM
34.81%chance
12513
OptionVotes
1015
871
Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan
Dec 15, 6:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.12%chance
21376
OptionVotes
1080
789