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Prediction markets for Christian

Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?

Dec 30, 8:07 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

3%chance

184411262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2137

977

Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?

Dec 30, 6:37 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

1.83%chance

5211172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2075

932

Will Elon Musk say he is a Christian before 2029?

Feb 12, 11:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

17.55%chance

398099

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2167

461

Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2026?

Dec 31, 9:09 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.8%chance

236399

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4032

248

Will the first ASI proclaim Christianity true?

Feb 10, 1:15 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

6%chance

502344

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1543

920

Jordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030

Aug 15, 2:26 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

15%chance

112280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

58.35%chance

441723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1113

786

[Metaculus] Will the Christian Democratic Union of Germany announce that it is open to negot... for Germany before 2030?

Mar 3, 3:42 AMJan 1, 11:00 PM

33%chance

141139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

249

Is America on the brink of a Christian revival?

May 1, 1:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.8%chance

12558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1253

974

Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election?

Aug 14, 5:41 PMSep 12, 11:59 PM

43.31%chance

6532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

874

Christian stock

Apr 10, 5:30 AMApr 11, 3:59 AM

14321

OptionProbability

YES

NO

281

229

What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100?

Nov 25, 7:03 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

36.94%chance

448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

77

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