OptionVotes
YES
NO
1826
806
OptionProbability
CDU/CSU + SPD
CDU/CSU + AfD
CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens
SPD + Greens + Left
CDU/CSU + Greens
CDU/CSU + Greens + FDP
CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP
Other
CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP
No coalition before 2030
SPD + Greens + FDP
SPD + Greens
CDU/CSU + FDP
CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens + FDP
AfD alone
24
21
16
8
6
5
4
3
1
276
237
No or later than 31 December 2025 midnight.
December 2025
August 2025
September 2025
October 2025
November 2025
July 2025
73
10
2
