Circuit Court News

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Jan 1, 8:11 PMJun 30, 7:10 PM

25.98%chance

12026535

OptionVotes

YES

1151

942

The Trump “J6” DC Election Interference Indictment

Sep 4, 3:11 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1814156

OptionProbability

Before trial begins: all 4 charges dropped, or whole case dismissed

Before a verdict of guilt for any of these charges: all 4 charges dropped, or whole case dismissed

Trial begins before 2031

Trump serves “house arrest” for any of the 4 alleged violations

Convicted of “Conspiracy to Defraud the United States”

Convicted of “Conspiracy to Obstruct an Official Proceeding”

Convicted of “Obstruction of and Attempt to Obstruct an Official Proceeding”

Convicted of “Conspiracy Against Rights”

Convicted of all 4 alleged violations

Trump goes to prison for any of the 4 alleged violations

How will the SCOTUS rules on Trump's tariff policy

Oct 9, 12:38 PMDec 31, 1:33 PM

163146

OptionProbability

Partially Unconstitutional

Fully Unconstitutional

Fully Constitutional

Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?

Nov 14, 2:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.38%chance

232911

OptionVotes

YES

2878

780

Will the Third Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?

Sep 8, 6:26 PMDec 31, 7:26 PM

80.05%chance

82213

OptionVotes

YES

2003

499

Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?

Apr 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.51%chance

261747

OptionVotes

YES

1425

776

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

Jan 19, 12:45 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

36.26%chance

131408

OptionVotes

YES

1326

754

When will a US court first rule that an AI is legally a person?

Dec 27, 11:36 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

34.68%chance

16523

OptionProbability

YES

1013

904

Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day Tarrifs?

May 14, 2:40 AMMar 2, 3:34 AM

42.65%chance

13339

OptionVotes

YES

120

Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?

Sep 8, 6:27 PMDec 31, 7:22 PM

61.51%chance

3281

OptionVotes

YES

1264

791

Will the U.S. Supreme Court issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day tariffs?

May 29, 2:56 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

34.4%chance

8126

OptionVotes

YES

138

California's AB-1127 ("Glock ban") struck down before 2030?

Oct 14, 8:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.95%chance

377

OptionVotes

YES

173

Circuit Court News

Prediction markets for Circuit Court

Prediction markets for Circuit Court

Prediction markets for Circuit Court

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

The Trump “J6” DC Election Interference Indictment

How will the SCOTUS rules on Trump's tariff policy

Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?

Will the Third Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?

Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

When will a US court first rule that an AI is legally a person?

Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day Tarrifs?

Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?

Will the U.S. Supreme Court issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day tariffs?

California's AB-1127 ("Glock ban") struck down before 2030?

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