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Prediction markets for Circuit Court

Will the Third Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?

Sep 8, 6:26 PMDec 31, 7:26 PM

95.53%chance

86958

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4625

216

Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?

Nov 14, 2:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.08%chance

264144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2261

821

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

Jan 19, 12:45 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

24.8%chance

151967

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1741

574

Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?

Apr 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.2%chance

271752

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1411

781

Will SCOTUS vote to overturn Mississippi's mail-in voting law?

Mar 24, 5:34 PMDec 31, 6:33 PM

63.01%chance

10643

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1305

766

When will a US court first rule that an AI is legally a person?

Dec 27, 11:36 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

34.68%chance

16523

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1013

904

Will the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?

Sep 8, 6:27 PMDec 31, 7:22 PM

67%chance

3442

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

702

Will the Supreme Court uphold the 5th Circuit ruling restricting mifepristone?

May 6, 4:09 PMJul 1, 11:59 PM

38.82%chance

6281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1255

797

Will the DC Circuit rule for Anthropic on the merits in the Pentagon supply chain case by Aug 31, 2026?

Apr 16, 5:41 PMSep 1, 10:00 PM

55%chance

9220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

48

Will Gannon Ken Van Dyke be convicted?

Apr 24, 2:11 PMOct 24, 1:59 PM

86%chance

5139

OptionVotes

NO

YES

141

92

California's AB-1127 ("Glock ban") struck down before 2030?

Oct 14, 8:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.95%chance

377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

58

Circuit-level appeal of a dismissal of a microplastics case on the merits (preemption, causation, pleadings) byEOY2028?

Apr 24, 7:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.37%chance

216

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

86

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