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Prediction markets for Citi Institute

Will there be anywhere childfree city before 2030?

Aug 8, 2:49 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

10%chance

493247

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1334

928

Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?

Mar 3, 2:11 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

2%chance

383105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

700

14

Will a new regime be installed in Iran before April 1st?

Mar 3, 7:40 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

1.69%chance

232303

OptionVotes

YES

NO

763

13

If the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?

Jan 8, 12:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.48%chance

241978

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1324

871

Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?

Jan 4, 10:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.97%chance

271481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will Russia occupy Dnipro ( Dnepropetrovs'k ) at the end of 2026?

Mar 5, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.3%chance

14522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

295

34

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

27%chance

16338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

819

Will life expectancy in any Italian province achieve 90 years before end of 2040?

Mar 6, 10:33 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

56.82%chance

5205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1147

872

Will China abandon its Hukou system by 2030?

Aug 31, 3:03 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

21.01%chance

6176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

246

67

Which acquired improv theatre will be dumped first?

Feb 11, 1:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1140

OptionProbability

iO

Second City

UCB

None, these will be the first-ever private equity acquisitions to thrive

32

32

32

3

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