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Prediction markets for Citizen Lab
Prediction markets for Citizen Lab
Will lab-grown meat become more popular than traditional meat in any country by 2030?
Mar 2, 10:25 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
7.38%
chance
39
2567
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2069
820
Will LLMs estimate a probability over 40% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?
May 27, 8:49 PM
May 2, 6:59 AM
36.37%
chance
31
1229
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1192
739
Will LLMs estimate a probability over 60% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?
May 27, 11:08 PM
May 2, 6:59 AM
39.94%
chance
10
532
Option
Votes
YES
NO
139
121
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