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Citizen Lab News
Prediction markets for Citizen Lab
Prediction markets for Citizen Lab
Will lab-grown meat become more popular than traditional meat in any country by 2030?
Mar 2, 10:25 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
4.03%
chance
39
4067
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3587
750
Will LLMs estimate a probability over 40% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?
May 27, 8:49 PM
May 2, 6:59 AM
36.37%
chance
31
1229
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1192
739
Will LLMs estimate a probability over 60% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?
May 27, 11:08 PM
May 2, 6:59 AM
39.94%
chance
10
532
Option
Votes
YES
NO
139
121
Will credible evidence emerge before 2027 that Meta can access the content of WhatsApp messages despite end-to-end encry
Jan 27, 10:51 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
13.66%
chance
6
187
Option
Votes
YES
NO
251
40
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