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Prediction markets for Citizens

Will Donald Trump send out a stimulus check to the majority of american citizens during his second term?

Nov 22, 5:36 AMJan 30, 4:59 AM

32.58%chance

15516533

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1694

1334

Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US citizens be killed by US military members on US soil?

Feb 11, 4:43 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

44.09%chance

131707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1126

888

More than 30% of US citizens will be on prescription drugs for weight loss by 2031

Jan 5, 1:07 AMJun 1, 7:00 PM

21.82%chance

361467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

946

Will any American citizen be extradited to the UK or elsewhere for free speech by 2040 end?

Aug 10, 8:14 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35.45%chance

71416

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1349

741

Will Trump succeed in revoking the citizenship of any birthright US citizen?

Jul 13, 3:36 PMJan 10, 7:59 AM

29.32%chance

181279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1553

644

EU or UK citizen granted US asylum for anti-immigration views by end of 2028?

Oct 16, 4:09 PMJan 1, 4:58 PM

35.29%chance

71258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1354

738

Will US citizens have the opportunity to vacation in North Korea on January 1st 2040?

Feb 18, 10:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.54%chance

261108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1121

931

Will the ICC prosecute a US citizen before 2035?

May 27, 8:36 AMMar 3, 9:59 PM

43.03%chance

8546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

will any AI become a citizen of any internationally recognized country before 2030?

Jun 2, 9:04 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

21.57%chance

13505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

982

Will citizens of the US be able to travel to more than 50% of countries without a physical passport by 2050?

Oct 21, 10:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.15%chance

12470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1317

732

Will the first person on Mars be a citizen of the United States?

May 28, 7:39 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

68.04%chance

15453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1023

923

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Nov 19, 6:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

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