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Prediction markets for Citizens United

Will the US deport an American citizen before 2029?

Mar 17, 8:49 PMJan 1, 8:59 AM

83%chance

12527637

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2210

453

(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030

Oct 10, 10:53 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

22.88%chance

7011132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2504

796

Will 50,000 United States citizens live in the Gaza strip by Jan 1 2029?

Feb 9, 11:03 PMJan 3, 6:59 AM

2.53%chance

267964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7578

314

Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?

Nov 7, 11:10 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

29.45%chance

487914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1548

646

Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 1, 8:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.96%chance

351321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

897

Will Elon Musk be a citizen of the United States at the end of Trump's current term in office?

Nov 6, 7:31 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

94.72%chance

19970

OptionVotes

NO

YES

423

24

WIll the United States National Guard kill someone before the 2026 Midterm Elections?

Sep 8, 6:24 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

45.2%chance

23956

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

908

Will the ICC prosecute a US citizen before 2035?

May 27, 8:36 AMMar 3, 9:59 PM

43.03%chance

8546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Will the first person on Mars be a citizen of the United States?

May 28, 7:39 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

68.04%chance

15453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1023

923

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

43.33%chance

5398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

874

"Britcoin" by 2030?

Feb 10, 1:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

14277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1030

974

Will United States citizens born in 1995 be eligible to receive full social security benefits in 2062?

May 6, 11:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.56%chance

364

OptionVotes

NO

YES

72

68

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