City Council News

NYT Says Chinese Consulate Steers New York Elections Through Nonprofits

10 months ago

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

39.13%chance

74647

OptionVotes

YES

12472

8018

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 10th State Senate district

Jun 4, 4:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42406

OptionProbability

Scott Sakakihara

Linda Price

Other

Aisha Wahab (Democratic, Incumbent)

Carmen Montano

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

61.68%chance

492390

OptionVotes

YES

5270

1565

Who will be Johannesburg's next Mayor?

Jun 15, 6:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22158

OptionProbability

Helen Zille

Loyiso Masuku

Herman Mashaba

Frank Chikane

Other

Kenny Kunene

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 3

Apr 13, 3:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51279

OptionProbability

Tim Gaspar

Barri Worth Girvan

Christopher Robert Celona

Lehi White

Other

Jon Rawlings

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

YES

1031

884

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 9

May 23, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3304

OptionProbability

Jose Ugarte

Estuardo Mazariegos

Chris Martin

Other

Jorge Nuno

Adriana Cabrera

Martha Sánchez

Elmer Roldan

Michelle Washington

Jorge Hernandez Rosas

Will a candidate explicitly running as a Socialist be elected to Philadelphia City Council by 2027?

Jan 21, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.8%chance

9301

OptionVotes

YES

202

120

Cambridge, MA Zoning reforms 2025 multimarket

Feb 12, 5:25 PMFeb 20, 7:59 AM

7240

OptionProbability

Cambridge population >125k mid 2030 (118k at start)

Cambridge's observed average rent well be lower than $3300, inflation adjusted, at mid 2030

Cambridge's observed average rent well be lower than $3300, inflation adjusted, at mid 2035

Cambridge significantly undoes / reverts the zoning changes

Cambridge average rents rise to >4000,

Burhan Azeem leaves the city council by mid 2030 (actually gone or announced)

Cambridge population >150k mid 2035 (118k at start)

Cambridge population >145k mid 2030 (118k at start)

Cambridge population >190k mid 2035 (118k at start)

2026 City of Los Angeles Charter Reform Predictions

Jul 28, 6:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2127

OptionProbability

No change to the charter

Ranked choice voting for city council or city wide office

Expand the number of council districts

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 22nd State Senate district

Jul 7, 2:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3124

OptionProbability

Susan Rubio (incumbent)

Other

Who will win a seat on the Mountain View City Council in November 2026?

May 17, 12:03 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

444

OptionProbability

Silja Paymer

Robert Cox

Erik Poicon

Alexander Amoroso

IdaRose Sylvester

Paul Donahue

City Council News

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Prediction markets for City Council

Prediction markets for City Council

Prediction markets for City Council

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 10th State Senate district

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Who will be Johannesburg's next Mayor?

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 3

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 9

Will a candidate explicitly running as a Socialist be elected to Philadelphia City Council by 2027?

Cambridge, MA Zoning reforms 2025 multimarket

2026 City of Los Angeles Charter Reform Predictions

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 22nd State Senate district

Who will win a seat on the Mountain View City Council in November 2026?

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