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Prediction markets for City Index

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in Nov. 2025 than it was in Nov. 2024

Jan 22, 9:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.43%chance

128234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15509

5886

Which US city will have the highest quality of life in 2030? [see description]

Jan 20, 9:18 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

402829

OptionProbability

Other

Raleigh, NC

Austin, TX

Madison, WI

Seattle, WA

Jacksonville, FL

Portland, OR

Tampa, FL

Orlando, FL

Charlotte, NC

Albuquerque, NM

Boise, ID

San Diego, CA

Denver, CO

Boston, MA

Atlanta, GA

Columbus, OH

Kansas City, MO

San Antonio, TX

Detroit, MI

Spokane, WA

34

6

6

6

6

5

4

4

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

China's 70-city new home price index YoY change for December 2025 >= -2.0%?

Nov 26, 6:05 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

40.83%chance

32393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12039

8306

China's 70-city new home price index for January 2026 ≥ -2.0% YoY?

Nov 26, 6:08 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

56.37%chance

41397

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11367

8797

Will US inflation be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years?

Oct 7, 6:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

89.32%chance

12759

OptionVotes

NO

YES

246

158

Will Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2025?

Aug 9, 2:33 AMSep 16, 6:59 AM

90.27%chance

16588

OptionVotes

NO

YES

305

33

Will non-EU cities catch up in terms of quality of life by 2035? [see description]

Jan 18, 11:39 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16%chance

10439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

960

Will Lil Nas X (Montero Lamar Hill) be convicted on any of his August 2025 charges?

Aug 26, 12:50 PMApr 13, 10:59 PM

59.33%chance

5287

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1208

828

Mount Spurr significant eruption by date?

Mar 20, 5:16 AMJan 31, 9:59 PM

2150

OptionProbability

Before 2029

After 2028

Before May 2026

Before August 2025

Before April 2025

Before May 2025

56

50

47

42

0

0

Will Dubai be ranked 18th or above in the 2028 Kearney Global Cities Index?

Sep 29, 6:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%?

Mar 22, 9:34 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

59.46%chance

755

OptionVotes

NO

YES

234

172

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