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Prediction markets for City Index

Will Chittagong Bangladesh be declared the most liveable city in the world by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:17 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

1%chance

24173148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

99499

1005

China's 70-city new home price index for January 2026 ≥ -2.0% YoY?

Nov 26, 6:08 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM

35.01%chance

226975

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13624

7340

Which US city will have the highest quality of life in 2030? [see description]

Jan 20, 9:18 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

402829

OptionProbability

Other

Raleigh, NC

Austin, TX

Madison, WI

Seattle, WA

Jacksonville, FL

Portland, OR

Tampa, FL

Orlando, FL

Charlotte, NC

Albuquerque, NM

Boise, ID

San Diego, CA

Denver, CO

Boston, MA

Atlanta, GA

Columbus, OH

Kansas City, MO

San Antonio, TX

Detroit, MI

Spokane, WA

34

6

6

6

6

5

4

4

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

Will US inflation be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years (2024-2028)?

Oct 7, 6:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

89.32%chance

12759

OptionVotes

NO

YES

246

158

Will non-EU cities catch up in terms of quality of life by 2035? [see description]

Jan 18, 11:39 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16%chance

10439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

960

Will Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026?

Jan 1, 4:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.93%chance

4319

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1303

768

Will Lil Nas X (Montero Lamar Hill) be convicted on any of his August 2025 charges?

Aug 26, 12:50 PMApr 13, 10:59 PM

59.33%chance

5287

OptionVotes

NO

YES

481

101

Mount Spurr significant eruption by date?

Mar 20, 5:16 AMJan 31, 9:59 PM

2150

OptionProbability

Before 2029

After 2028

Before May 2026

Before April 2025

Before May 2025

Before August 2025

56

50

47

0

0

0

By the end of Mamdani's term of office New York City violent crime rate will be higher than when he took office.

Dec 20, 7:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64%chance

6117

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

Will Dubai be ranked 18th or above in the 2028 Kearney Global Cities Index?

Sep 29, 6:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%?

Mar 22, 9:34 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

59.46%chance

755

OptionVotes

NO

YES

234

172

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