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Prediction markets for City Index

Which US city will have the highest quality of life in 2030? [see description]

Jan 20, 9:18 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

432849

OptionProbability

Other

Madison, WI

Raleigh, NC

Austin, TX

Seattle, WA

Jacksonville, FL

Portland, OR

Tampa, FL

Orlando, FL

Charlotte, NC

Albuquerque, NM

San Diego, CA

Denver, CO

Boston, MA

Columbus, OH

Kansas City, MO

San Antonio, TX

Boise, ID

Detroit, MI

Atlanta, GA

Spokane, WA

33

11

6

6

6

4

4

4

3

3

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

Will Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026?

Jan 1, 4:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

86.7%chance

152121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2553

392

Mount Spurr significant eruption by date?

Mar 20, 5:16 AMJan 31, 9:59 PM

31100

OptionProbability

After 2028

Before 2029

Before April 2025

Before May 2025

Before August 2025

Before May 2026

94

7

0

0

0

0

Will US inflation be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years (2024-2028)?

Oct 7, 6:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

94%chance

14956

OptionVotes

NO

YES

418

143

Will non-EU cities catch up in terms of quality of life by 2035? [see description]

Jan 18, 11:39 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16.08%chance

11440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1090

961

Will Lil Nas X (Montero Lamar Hill) be convicted on any of his August 2025 charges?

Aug 26, 12:50 PMApr 13, 10:59 PM

46.35%chance

7356

OptionVotes

NO

YES

425

151

By the end of Mamdani's term of office New York City violent crime rate will be higher than when he took office.

Dec 20, 7:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.51%chance

13246

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

Will the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%?

Mar 22, 9:34 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

77%chance

8180

OptionVotes

NO

YES

359

116

Will Dubai be ranked 18th or above in the 2028 Kearney Global Cities Index?

Sep 29, 6:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

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