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Prediction markets for City Police

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

71.32%chance

7011582

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1578

635

Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:22 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

10.16%chance

287031

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2975

337

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

9.99%chance

216210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3004

333

Will the Trump administration militarize Baltimore before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 4, 12:27 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

11.1%chance

293650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2832

354

Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:19 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

13.87%chance

91968

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2492

401

Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?

Jan 4, 10:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.09%chance

291541

OptionVotes

NO

YES

260

39

Will there be widespread political unrest in the US in the summer of 2026 similar to summer of 2020?

Jan 1, 1:48 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

8.58%chance

191258

OptionVotes

YES

NO

326

31

Private New Year's Eve Fireworks possible in Germany?

Jul 1, 10:57 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

11420

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

100

94

83

67

During the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?

Jul 7, 3:22 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

8.26%chance

11334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1269

925

Is a major protest(s) expected to occur in Indonesia before September 2026?

Mar 17, 6:53 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

8207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Number of murders in New York increase >15% in 2026 compared to 2025

Nov 5, 7:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.74%chance

7201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

56

La Jolla an independent city before 2032?

May 4, 2:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

9102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

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