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Prediction markets for City Police

Will the UK (excluding Northern Ireland) experience major riots in 2025, similar to 2024? (V2)

Jun 11, 9:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.98%chance

1712724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4914

204

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

73.11%chance

618318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1649

606

Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:22 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

82.16%chance

234248

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2146

466

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

33.28%chance

202136

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1416

706

Will the Trump administration militarize Baltimore before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 4, 12:27 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

51.87%chance

251292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

963

Who is/will claim responsibility for Delhi Red fort explosion that occurred on 10 November 2025

Nov 10, 3:00 PMDec 31, 2:58 PM

9932

OptionProbability

Terrorist organization

No one claims responsibility / Remains undetermined

CNG cylinder malfunction/accident

Vehicle battery malfunction

Improvised explosive device (IED) - unaffiliated individual(s)

Pakistani Intelligence

Other

40

23

8

8

7

7

7

Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:19 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

45.79%chance

6441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

919

During the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?

Jul 7, 3:22 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

8.26%chance

11334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1269

925

Private New Year's Eve Fireworks possible in Germany?

Jul 1, 10:57 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

5310

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

99

90

76

66

Number of murders in New York increase >15% in 2026 compared to 2025

Nov 5, 7:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

5140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

La Jolla an independent city before 2032?

May 4, 2:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.77%chance

665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

Another city will leave the Unified Police District in Salt Lake County before 12/31/2025

Nov 14, 9:57 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

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