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Prediction markets for City Police

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

68.07%chance

7411984

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1461

685

Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:22 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

4.77%chance

328993

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4472

224

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

5.02%chance

247914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4352

230

Will the Trump administration militarize Baltimore before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 4, 12:27 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

11.1%chance

293650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2832

354

Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:19 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

16.63%chance

92221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2239

447

Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?

Jan 4, 10:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.13%chance

291546

OptionVotes

NO

YES

260

38

Private New Year's Eve Fireworks possible in Germany?

Jul 1, 10:57 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

14548

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

100

96

87

85

During the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?

Jul 7, 3:22 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

8.26%chance

11334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1269

925

Number of murders in New York increase >15% in 2026 compared to 2025

Nov 5, 7:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.63%chance

11221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

La Jolla an independent city before 2032?

May 4, 2:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

9102

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Aug 1, 4:26 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

69.45%chance

555

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

95

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