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Prediction markets for City Police

Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term?

Feb 21, 9:33 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

75.32%chance

659345

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1748

573

Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:22 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

19.94%chance

286201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2005

499

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

13.62%chance

215393

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2520

397

Will the Trump administration militarize Baltimore before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 4, 12:27 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

12.22%chance

293500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2682

373

Will the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:19 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

21.99%chance

71441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1883

531

Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?

Jan 4, 10:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91.73%chance

22968

OptionVotes

NO

YES

333

30

Will there be widespread political unrest in the US in the summer of 2026 similar to summer of 2020?

Jan 1, 1:48 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

32.38%chance

13799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

Private New Year's Eve Fireworks possible in Germany?

Jul 1, 10:57 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

6340

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

100

92

83

76

During the year 2027, will China implement a pandemic lockdown in a Tier 1 city comparable to 2022's lockdown?

Jul 7, 3:22 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

8.26%chance

11334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1269

925

Number of murders in New York increase >15% in 2026 compared to 2025

Nov 5, 7:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.74%chance

7201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

56

La Jolla an independent city before 2032?

May 4, 2:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.77%chance

665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

71

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