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Prediction markets for CIVI

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?

Aug 26, 3:21 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

11.93%chance

14960080

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1319

1267

Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?

Oct 21, 9:08 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6.83%chance

4413588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3695

271

Will WW3 directly cause over 1B civilian casualties?

Jan 3, 8:44 PMJan 10, 10:59 PM

26.01%chance

86380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9588

101

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Apr 24, 2:46 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

27.33%chance

695805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2438

2205

Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029

Aug 5, 10:47 AMDec 30, 4:59 PM

11.64%chance

314511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2755

363

Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?

May 18, 10:12 PMApr 21, 5:59 AM

56%chance

363606

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

960

Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?

May 6, 12:14 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

44.73%chance

422973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1312

591

Will we ever discover alien civilizations in our lifetime?

Mar 5, 10:01 AMJun 19, 3:59 AM

19.83%chance

212538

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1196

905

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.61%chance

281702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

938

Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

Mar 30, 5:33 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

53.9%chance

231451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1364

742

Will evidence of an extraterrestrial civilization be discovered by the year 2100?

Jul 3, 7:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.19%chance

101051

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1300

769

Will Iran have a civil war before the start of 2028?

Jun 22, 5:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.72%chance

9312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

864

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