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Prediction markets for Civil Administration
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
43%chance
8712384
OptionVotes
1151
869
If Trump is elected, will Biden go to prison for treason related to his border policies?
Oct 23, 5:07 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
2.42%chance
469617
OptionVotes
6356
157
Will Donald Trump order the US military to crush protesters?
Dec 17, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
34.92%chance
311176
OptionVotes
303
175
OptionVotes
1062
940
Will Georgia (country) keep its territorial integrity until end of 2030? (The situation will not be worse than now)
Sep 21, 11:04 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM
57.1%chance
9610
OptionVotes
1154
867
OptionVotes
1249
925
By 2030, will any Democratic administration succeed in jailing their opponents?
Nov 8, 12:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
39.5%chance
3458
OptionVotes
1238
808
At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?
Dec 18, 11:47 PMDec 26, 7:59 AM
9267
OptionProbability
28
24
21
20
5
2