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Prediction markets for Clay

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.49%chance

266122165

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4864

50

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?

Jun 9, 2:12 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

60.65%chance

4765967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130486

84436

Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?

Feb 28, 3:09 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM

52.38%chance

13723963

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1351

807

In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Jun 20, 4:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

6418644

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2045-2050

54

19

11

9

6

In what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Sep 30, 7:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6713340

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2049

2050-2074

2075-2099

Other

60

33

5

1

0

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.66%chance

10511871

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3443

2500

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Dec 2026?

Jun 9, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.72%chance

54859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10466

9555

Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?

Oct 1, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.4%chance

423497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

284

110

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2040?

Feb 13, 12:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

82.05%chance

152592

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1771

101

Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?

Jan 6, 8:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

50.86%chance

261659

OptionVotes

NO

YES

235

100

Bon Clay Stock

May 5, 12:56 PMMay 5, 9:59 PM

13701

OptionProbability

NO

YES

421

230

Will the Clay Foundation adjust for inflation?

Nov 16, 1:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.94%chance

545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

112

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