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Prediction markets for Clay

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29%chance

21999232

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4800

146

Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?

Feb 28, 3:09 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM

47%chance

13022198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1240

919

In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Jun 20, 4:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

6015910

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2045-2050

40

26

15

12

8

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

10110673

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3917

1923

In what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Sep 30, 7:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

513749

OptionProbability

2030-2049

2025-2029

2050-2074

2075-2099

Other

55

20

19

5

1

Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?

Oct 1, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84%chance

413487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

330

100

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2040?

Feb 13, 12:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

82.05%chance

152592

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2138

468

Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?

Jan 6, 8:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

46.78%chance

241507

OptionVotes

NO

YES

223

112

Which Coaches Are Out In The Sun Belt Conference? Coaching Carousel 2025-26

Jun 6, 9:29 PMMar 15, 11:59 PM

31476

OptionProbability

Coastal Carolina - Tim Beck

James Madison - Bob Chesney

Southern Miss - Charles Huff

Appalachian State - Dowell Loggains

Georgia Southern - Clay Helton

Georgia State - Dell McGee

Marshall - Tony Gibson

Old Dominion - Ricky Rahne

Arkansas State - Butch Jones

Louisiana - Michael Desormeaux

South Alabama - Major Applewhite

Texas State - G. J. Kinne

Louisiana–Monroe - Bryant Vincent

Troy - Gerad Parker

100

100

100

40

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

35

32

Bon Clay Stock

May 5, 12:56 PMMay 5, 9:59 PM

13701

OptionProbability

NO

YES

421

230

How Many Bottles of Wine Does Clay Bring 2.5

Feb 4, 2:53 AMFeb 14, 2:52 AM

3110

OptionProbability

Over

Under

52

48

Will the Clay Foundation adjust for inflation?

Nov 16, 1:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.94%chance

545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

112

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