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Prediction markets for Clay

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?

Jun 9, 2:12 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

92.28%chance

75857043

OptionVotes

NO

YES

362974

30273

Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?

Sep 8, 10:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.25%chance

814734994

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9131

1058

All Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?

Sep 8, 11:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.37%chance

202253938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1267

789

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

97%chance

377226100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5064

2

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Dec 2026?

Jun 9, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.73%chance

25163138

OptionVotes

NO

YES

23558

4245

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

96.98%chance

13061823

OptionVotes

NO

YES

19704

1249

Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?

Feb 28, 3:09 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM

95.12%chance

17237969

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4223

142

Who Will the next Strawhat Be?

Mar 10, 2:40 AMJan 8, 6:59 AM

8711556

OptionProbability

Vivi

The Crew is full. No more Strawhats

Boa Hancock

Yamato

Other

Vegapunk Lilith

A new character who is yet to be revealed.

Carrot

Law

Smoker

Kizaru

Gin

Shirahoshi

Charlotte Pudding

Stussy

Bon Clay

Jewelry Bonney

Woop Slap

Pandaman

Loki

66

53

30

24

23

21

13

10

8

6

6

4

4

3

3

3

2

2

2

1

Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?

Jan 6, 8:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

96.02%chance

292033

OptionVotes

NO

YES

617

11

Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029?

Sep 15, 8:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.14%chance

211953

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1738

575

Bon Clay Stock

May 5, 12:56 PMMay 5, 9:59 PM

13701

OptionProbability

NO

YES

421

230

Will the Clay Foundation adjust for inflation?

Nov 16, 1:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.97%chance

884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

93

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