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Prediction markets for Clay

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?

Jun 9, 2:12 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

96.55%chance

58498723

OptionVotes

NO

YES

554784

19784

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.26%chance

293135408

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4893

31

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Dec 2026?

Jun 9, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.48%chance

15129550

OptionVotes

NO

YES

52378

1909

Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?

Feb 28, 3:09 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM

69%chance

16429779

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1786

527

In what year will artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Jun 20, 4:02 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

6819648

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2045-2050

59

17

10

8

6

In what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Sep 30, 7:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7015103

OptionProbability

2025-2029

2030-2049

2050-2074

Other

2075-2099

60

29

6

4

1

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

73.7%chance

10814221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3839

2789

Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?

Jan 2, 9:09 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

32.13%chance

6912492

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1069

812

Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?

Jun 1, 1:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.33%chance

316885

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?

Jan 6, 8:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

63.34%chance

281713

OptionVotes

NO

YES

275

70

Bon Clay Stock

May 5, 12:56 PMMay 5, 9:59 PM

13701

OptionProbability

NO

YES

421

230

Will the Clay Foundation adjust for inflation?

Nov 16, 1:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.94%chance

545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

112

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