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Prediction markets for Clay

Will an AI model write the proof to the Riemann Hypothesis by the end of 2025?

Sep 14, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1%chance

178193532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115702

1609

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27%chance

20292581

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4792

161

Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?

Feb 28, 3:09 PMDec 31, 9:01 PM

44.29%chance

12621698

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1188

981

By the start of 2026, will the Clay Mathematics Institute award its monetary prize for the solution of another Millennium Prize Problem?

Dec 4, 1:14 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

1.15%chance

3413145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8936

685

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.26%chance

10110558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3802

2044

Who Will the Last Strawhat Be?

Mar 10, 2:40 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

849270

OptionProbability

Loki

Vivi

Jewelry Bonney

Yamato

Vegapunk Lilith

The Crew is full. No more Strawhats

Other

Law

A new character who is yet to be revealed.

Carrot

Smoker

Boa Hancock

Kizaru

Shirahoshi

Bon Clay

Gin

Stussy

Charlotte Pudding

Woop Slap

Pandaman

67

63

43

42

35

23

23

15

13

10

10

7

7

7

6

5

4

3

3

3

Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?

Oct 1, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84%chance

413487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

330

100

In what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?

Sep 30, 7:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

503444

OptionProbability

2030-2049

2025-2029

2050-2074

2075-2099

Other

47

36

13

3

1

Will any of the remaining Clay Millenium problems be solved with substantial help from an AI before 2030?

Jan 6, 8:21 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

46.78%chance

241507

OptionVotes

NO

YES

223

112

Bon Clay Stock

May 5, 12:56 PMMay 5, 9:59 PM

13701

OptionProbability

NO

YES

421

230

Which Coaches Are Out In The Sun Belt Conference? Coaching Carousel 2025-26

Jun 6, 9:29 PMMar 15, 11:59 PM

3381

OptionProbability

Appalachian State - Dowell Loggains

Coastal Carolina - Tim Beck

Georgia Southern - Clay Helton

Georgia State - Dell McGee

James Madison - Bob Chesney

Marshall - Tony Gibson

Old Dominion - Ricky Rahne

Arkansas State - Butch Jones

Louisiana - Michael Desormeaux

South Alabama - Major Applewhite

Southern Miss - Charles Huff

Texas State - G. J. Kinne

Louisiana–Monroe - Bryant Vincent

Troy - Gerad Parker

40

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

35

32

Will the Clay Foundation adjust for inflation?

Nov 16, 1:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.94%chance

545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

112

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