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Prediction markets for Clean Energy

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.61%chance

281702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

938

Will Trump preserve Biden’s clean energy tax credits?

Mar 17, 4:27 PMJan 20, 7:59 AM

17.61%chance

71037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1983

625

Which positive news will make 2025 world-wide headlines?

Jan 4, 4:58 PMJan 11, 10:59 PM

11879

OptionProbability

Space Exploration

Technology

Medical/Healthcare

Fundamental research

Geopolitics

Environment and sustainability

Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid

Society

Art and culture

Human Rights

Economy

79

73

67

65

65

59

50

50

45

45

35

What technology or innovation will have the most transformative impact on our daily lives in the next decade?

Sep 23, 1:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19837

OptionProbability

AI & ML

Biotech and gene editing

Clean energy solutions

Quantum computing

Space exploration and colonization

5G and Beyond

56

18

10

7

6

2

Will a new form of clean energy surpass solar in efficiency by 2030?

Jan 10, 11:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.13%chance

10569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

372

126

Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?

May 22, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.58%chance

13469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

879

HB11 Energy will demonstrate fusion net gain with hydrogen-boron fuel by 12/31/2027.

Aug 18, 3:48 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.37%chance

7256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

103

Will Democrats (2028 Election) pivot to pro-growth Abundance Policies (Ezra Klein + Derek Thompson) 🇺🇸🦾🤑🦅🏗️🏛️

Mar 6, 3:41 AMNov 30, 12:59 PM

35.83%chance

7149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

75

China CO2 emissions in 2026 less than in 2025?

Jul 8, 9:13 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

67.47%chance

8119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

69

Will >50% of total allocated funding to clean energy provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act be gutted by 2028?

Jul 16, 5:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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