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Prediction markets for Climate Change

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Oct 31, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.2%chance

14590456

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6961

3818

Will carbon removal be pivotal in mitigating climate change?

Jun 16, 2:20 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

67.7%chance

29334058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3948

3188

By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

Apr 5, 4:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.42%chance

25317819

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2329

1841

Will climate change be successfully limited to under 2°C at the end of 2045?

Apr 17, 3:47 PMDec 17, 9:59 PM

19.4%chance

12014186

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2201

985

Will climate change decimate humans before 2090?

Nov 2, 12:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.88%chance

474636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

918

Will climate change wipe out humanity by 2100?

Jun 24, 10:58 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

4.36%chance

242774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1539

935

Ocean Acidification Should Be More Worrying Than Atmospheric Climate Change (Resolves to Probability)

Feb 15, 4:56 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

49.75%chance

381761

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1149

791

By end of 2030, will I perceive the threat from climate change as being worse than at market creation?

Mar 3, 12:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30%chance

321155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1069

954

Will there be a terrorist attack motivated by climate change before 2030?

Feb 9, 3:26 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

76.58%chance

26782

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

942

Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?

Nov 25, 9:13 AMSep 9, 9:59 PM

42.87%chance

21712

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1145

739

Will Our World In Data attribute more than 1 million deaths to climate change before 2030?

Nov 26, 2:53 PMDec 3, 11:59 PM

69.06%chance

18538

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1206

851

Will Our World In Data attribute more than 10 million deaths to climate change before 2030?

Nov 26, 2:54 PMDec 3, 11:59 PM

47.13%chance

17453

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1133

814

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