OptionProbability
Gene Editing Therapies
Personalized medicine based on patient's genetic profile
Therapies to reverse cardiovascular diseases
Regenerative Medicine
Human-level AGI
Humanoid Robots in Service/Logistics Roles
Brain-Computer Interfaces
Desalination with Energy Consumption Below 1.5 kWh/m³
Bioprinting
Autonomous Drone Swarms Dominating Land and Air Combat
Solar panels with 40% efficiency
Synthetic Meat Indistinguishable from Real Meat
Solid-state EV batteries ≥ 500 Wh/kg in mass-produced cars
Therapies to reverse neurodegenerative diseases
Fully Autonomous Cargo Ships
Advanced Exoskeletons for Everyday Use
Artificial Photosynthesis (10% efficiency in converting sunlight to chemical energy)
Quantum Computing Applications
Cancer Vaccine Targeting Multiple Types of Cancer
Nanorobots for Precision Drug Delivery
Space-Based Manufacturing
Self-Healing Materials for Infrastructure
A Specific ‘Longevity Drug’ or Defined Drug Combination that Extends Average Human Healthspan by at Least 10 Years
Seafloor Mining Robots
Graphene semiconductor electronics
Lunar Bases
Moon base
Artificial Wombs for Human Gestation (from conception to birth)
Britain finishes HS2
Smart Contact Lenses with AR Capabilities
Transoceanic fully autonomous container crossing without onboard crew
Commercial asteroid mining
Commercial fusion power
Universal Flu Vaccine (effictive against all current and future strains)
Nuclear microreactors that can be used anywhere
City-scale fully automated underground logistics networks
Joywire
Point-to-Point Suborbital Spaceflight (Regularly Scheduled Passenger Transport)
Hypersonic commercial passenger travel
Room-Temperature Atmospheric-Pressure Superconductors
Nuclear Thermal Rockets
Photonic computing
Engineered Symbiotic Microorganism Implants for Human Physiological Augmentation
Self-Actuating Metamaterials for Adaptive Structures in Buildings and Infrastructure
Mars Base
Fusion Drives
Food with bioengineered saturated fat that doesn't raise cholesterol
Orbital Habitats
Direct Cognitive Collaboration
Commercial satellite to ground power transmission
Human Missions to Mars with Round-Trip Travel Time Under 6 Months
A skyhook space structure in LEO
Commercial cold fusion
Autonomous Flying Cars in Cities
Human Mind Uploading
Space probes travelling at >=1% speed of light
Cryonics with Successful Revival
Space-to-Earth power stations
Biohybrid Robots with Living Muscle Tissue
Self-Replicating Fully-Automated Factories
Cell replacement therapy using synthetic cells
Changing the height of an adult at will
Changing a person's race at will
Room-Temperature Superconducting Transmission Lines in Urban Power Grids
Human sex change at chromosome level
Antimatter bombs
Time travel to the future
Vacuum Airships
1% Dyson sphere coverage
Space Elevator
Quantum Sensors Enabling Detection of Cancer Years Before Symptoms
Temporal Cloaking Device (Hiding Events in Time)
Reality Anchoring Device (Stabilizing Subjective Reality)
Faster then Light Propulsion
Time travel to the past
95
93
93
90
89
89
88
85
84
84
83
81
78
76
75
75
75
73
72
72
68
67
67
67
62
61
60
58
58
56
53
48
46
46
45
44
43
43
43
42
37
37
36
35
31
30
27
26
23
22
21
21
19
19
18
18
17
16
16
16
16
16
15
13
13
13
10
10
9
6
6
5
4
3
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