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Top stories

Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade

Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade

Authors

13

1 year ago

Prediction markets for CMC

Will the FDA conditionally approve a drug to extend lifespan or healthspan in dogs before January 1, 2028?

Oct 1, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.13%chance

31124

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2535

1797

Which species will get the first regulator-approved drug with lifespan extension as the indication?

Oct 1, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6680

OptionProbability

Dogs

None before 2035

Another species

Humans

41

25

21

12

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Nov 2, 12:48 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM

91%chance

8244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

282

38

Will Liu Zhenli be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.65%chance

7135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

159

63

Will Zhang Youxia be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Jan 21, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.74%chance

3125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

142

71

Will Orion CMC's acquisition affect Glencore's DRC assets' output by 2026-12-31?

Feb 9, 6:02 PMFeb 9, 6:02 PM

41.44%chance

183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

937

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2032?

Nov 2, 1:14 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

40.34%chance

442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

96

84

Will Zhang Shengmin be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Jan 21, 3:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.02%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2027?

Nov 2, 1:11 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

33.78%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

70

36

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
China
Politics
World
Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade
Authors
13
1 year ago

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