OptionProbability
EU Parliament gets right of Legislative Initiative
Broad consensus on CMU (Capital Markets Union) completion
EU institution controlling an army of over 20,000 personnel
EU-wide UBI
S&D becoming the largest group in the EP
EU Parliament gaining full co-decision powers on all EU legislation
(to be resolved N/A)
A new Treaty will reform the EU constitution (as Lisbon or Maastricht Treaties did)
Abolition of unanimity in foreign policy
Direct election of the Commission President by the population
At least 1/3 of the Parliament elected on Union-wide lists
EU overtaking the USA in GDP (PPP)
EU achieving net-zero carbon emissions
Abolished Daylight Saving Time
EU institution controlling an army of over 100,000 personnel
Nuclear weapons under the control of an EU institution
EU-wide minimum wage
EU finances more than 50% of its budget from self-collected taxes
76
61
60
59
51
50
49
47
41
40
35
31
28
25
24
12
Princeton Puzzle Hunt
CMU Hunt Spring 2026
CMU Hunt Fall 2026
Cruzzle Hunt: The Specter of the Show
Alex Irpan's Enigmarch Hunt
Brown Puzzle Hunt
[DON'T BET, WILL N/A AT END OF 2026]
95
66
55
30
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
104
96
1020
980
