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Prediction markets for Coach

In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Feb 20, 10:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

92.01%chance

468100532

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8080

990

Will Gregg Berhalter be coach of the US Men's National Soccer Team for the 2026 World Cup?

Dec 6, 2:44 AMJan 1, 2:44 AM

1.22%chance

4217104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3018

10

Will Bill Belichick win a NCAA championship as UNC head coach

Dec 15, 11:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.52%chance

157486

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8040

124

Will Kompany coach Bayern Munich for at least two full seasons?

May 24, 5:24 PMJun 30, 9:59 PM

93.62%chance

205018

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3830

261

In 2028, will at least 3.5m (1/100) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Mar 17, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

70.16%chance

181809

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1450

703

Will Brent Venables still be head coach of Oklahoma college football by the end of the 2025-26 season?

May 22, 11:28 PMFeb 15, 11:59 PM

86.98%chance

51635

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2585

387

In 2028, will at least 35m (1/10) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Mar 17, 6:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.56%chance

20976

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1307

865

In 2028, will at least 100m Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Mar 17, 7:03 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16.36%chance

16677

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

879

Will Wayne Rooney coach another MLS team before 2030?

Nov 16, 6:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.92%chance

16270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1066

959

What year will Mike McCarthy stop being the Head Coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers?

Jan 28, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

194

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

2030

Other

2026

21

21

21

21

9

8

Will "“Flaky breakthroughs” pervade coaching — but ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jun 5, 1:49 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

19.8%chance

260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1060

699

Manifold Scouts: NFL Head Coach Survival Pool (2025-26 Offseason Hires)

Feb 3, 5:34 PMMar 2, 12:59 AM

11

OptionProbability

Mike LaFleur - Arizona Cardinals

Joe Brady - Buffalo Bills

Jeff Hafley - Miami Dolphins

Robert Saleh - Tennessee Titans

Todd Monken - Cleveland Browns

Klint Kubiak - Las Vegas Raiders

Mike McCarthy - Pittsburgh Steelers

Jesse Minter - Baltimore Ravens

Kevin Stefanski - Atlanta Falcons

John Harbaugh - New York Giants

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

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