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Prediction markets for COF

Will Austin Chen (Manifold cofounder) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Nov 19, 3:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

7647173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3154

1257

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2040?

Mar 17, 3:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

91.84%chance

8713743

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2349

1035

Which of the following financial services/banking stocks will perform best in calendar year 2025?

Jan 10, 2:07 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

43303

OptionProbability

SoFi Technologies ($SOFI)

Citigroup ($C)

Other

Bank of America ($BAC)

Capital One ($COF)

JP Morgan Chase ($JPM)

Wells Fargo ($WFC)

71

7

7

4

4

4

4

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2029?

Jul 9, 11:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70%chance

191719

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1628

464

Will Greenland enter into a Compact of Free Association (COFA) with the United States before 2030?

Dec 23, 10:24 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

25.89%chance

151356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1692

591

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2027?

Jul 8, 1:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.72%chance

171163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

864

Will a human be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2040?

Mar 22, 11:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

76.24%chance

231132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1026

717

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2030?

Dec 29, 8:46 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

79.81%chance

18787

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1396

862

How many people will live in coffins with VR headsets in 2035

Apr 18, 10:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.9%chance

12542

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1439

720

Will a robot be created that is capable of passing Steve Wozniak's "The Coffee Test" before 2028?

Jul 9, 11:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.95%chance

4390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

984

957

OU requires hechsher for plain coffee from regular shops by Dec 31, 2026?

Dec 3, 10:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.88%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

998

Will COF-999 reach large scale production by proving economical to make and operate by 2030?

Oct 30, 1:24 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.02%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

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