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Cognition Labs News
Prediction markets for Cognition Labs
Prediction markets for Cognition Labs
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
11.08%
chance
81
38437
Option
Votes
YES
NO
27819
3071
Will Koi be the first species we uplift?
Dec 20, 7:30 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
13.95%
chance
72
8703
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2438
1224
Will AGI arrive before Frozen 3?
Apr 25, 5:11 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
13.9%
chance
19
4054
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4453
1165
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PM
Dec 18, 2:59 PM
59.88%
chance
19
407
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1081
928
Will early transformative AIs primarily use text?
Oct 2, 2:57 PM
Oct 10, 6:59 AM
47.38%
chance
10
209
Option
Votes
YES
NO
160
136
Will China or the US announce ‘AGI’ first?
Dec 18, 3:27 AM
Dec 18, 3:27 AM
59.84%
chance
3
40
Option
Votes
NO
YES
122
82
Will Cognition Labs (Devin) have an exit > $6bn before 2027?
May 14, 5:16 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
44.93%
chance
4
37
Option
Votes
YES
NO
111
90
Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?
May 2, 4:30 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
40.19%
chance
1
22
Option
Votes
YES
NO
122
82
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