OptionVotes
YES
NO
4362
229
1891
1299
3049
331
OptionProbability
Eritrean Defense Forces and Tigray Defense Force will win the Fight.
Ethiopian Defense Force will win the Fight
It will be stalemate
69
19
12
919
11
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with minimal concessions
Deal with major concessions
Military coup (Artesh)
Popular takeover
Balkanization/long civil war
Venezuela-style puppet state
Voluntary transition of power
35
28
26
4
3
2
1
125
80
142
70
