OptionVotes
YES
NO
2141
1245
3399
297
OptionProbability
Eritrean Defense Forces and Tigray Defense Force will win the Fight.
Ethiopian Defense Force will win the Fight
It will be stalemate
71
16
13
Unyielding Islamic Regime
Deal with minimal concessions
Deal with major concessions
Military coup (Artesh)
Popular takeover
Balkanization/long civil war
Venezuela-style puppet state
Voluntary transition of power
35
28
26
4
3
2
1
125
80
142
70
