Collide News

Will the Moon land on humans by 2028?

Aug 9, 3:55 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

1%chance

254347

OptionVotes

YES

4913

882

Is there a Black Hole in our Solar System?

May 11, 7:56 PMDec 20, 5:59 AM

12.19%chance

443753

OptionVotes

YES

971

945

Will the Future Circular Collider discover any new elementary particle?

Apr 7, 6:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.25%chance

312282

OptionVotes

YES

1294

826

Kessler Syndrome before 2028?

Oct 5, 9:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.37%chance

282019

OptionVotes

YES

1742

858

Is there currently a black hole inside the Earth?

Oct 19, 6:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.65%chance

171369

OptionVotes

YES

1623

925

Which books will I rate 5 stars, if I read them?

Jan 1, 6:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

221119

OptionProbability

The Way of Kings by Brandon Sanderson

Merchant Magician by John Champaign

The Road by Cormac McCarthy

(The books you will rate 5 stars)

The Player of Games by Iain M. Banks

Crime and Punishment

Catch-22 by Joseph Heller

Lord of Light by Roger Zelazny

Exhalation by Ted Chiang

Hyperion by Dan Simmons

War with the Newts

Small Things Like These by Claire Keegan

Great Gatsby

If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies by Nate Soares and Eliezer Yudkowsky

Existential Kink by Carolyn Elliott

Which U.S. late-night show host will still be hosting their show by Dec 2028, given recent firings and suspensions.

Sep 19, 8:38 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM

15544

OptionProbability

John Oliver

Jimmy Kimmel

Jimmy Fallon

Seth Meyers

Bill Maher

Stephen Colbert

Will the Milky Way collide with the Andromeda galaxy?

Sep 30, 10:37 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

80.6%chance

18507

OptionVotes

YES

992

986

Will people have a positive opinion of the Future Circular Collider by 2030?

Apr 11, 7:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

57.21%chance

9108

OptionVotes

YES

240

237

Future particle colliders

Aug 17, 3:32 AMJan 2, 4:29 AM

675

OptionProbability

A muon collider will start construction in the US before the end of year 2050.

The International Linear Collider (ILC) will start construction in Japan before the end of year 2050.

A final decision is made by the CERN Council to not proceed with the Future Circular Collider (FCC) project by the end of year 2040.

The Circular Electron Positron Collider (CEPC) project is approved by the Chinese government and features in the five-year plan of 2026-2030.

What will be the first neutron star radius measured, in km?

Jul 14, 7:07 PMJul 2, 5:59 AM

39.5%chance

556

OptionProbability

YES

265

222

Should we continue building bigger and bigger particle colliders?

Apr 11, 12:37 AM

1170

Collide News

Prediction markets for Collide

Prediction markets for Collide

Prediction markets for Collide

Will the Moon land on humans by 2028?

Is there a Black Hole in our Solar System?

Will the Future Circular Collider discover any new elementary particle?

Kessler Syndrome before 2028?

Is there currently a black hole inside the Earth?

Which books will I rate 5 stars, if I read them?

Which U.S. late-night show host will still be hosting their show by Dec 2028, given recent firings and suspensions.

Will the Milky Way collide with the Andromeda galaxy?

Will people have a positive opinion of the Future Circular Collider by 2030?

Future particle colliders

What will be the first neutron star radius measured, in km?

Should we continue building bigger and bigger particle colliders?

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