OptionProbability
Covid
Russia-Ukraine War
Brexit
January 6th
Israel-Hamas War
US Withdrawal from Afghanistan
LLMs
George Floyd Protests
The Rise of China
Private Spaceflight
Bitcoin
Violent repression of women in Iran
New York v Trump 2024
Tigray War
BRICS Expansion
Meme stocks
Enshittification
97
94
88
86
82
77
75
63
61
57
54
51
40
21
13
OptionVotes
YES
NO
10480
9542
2027
Other
2026
2030
2028
2029
2025
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2024
12
11
10
9
8
6
5
4
190
121
