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Commerce and State Departments News
Prediction markets for Commerce and State Departments
Prediction markets for Commerce and State Departments
Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?
Jun 16, 6:56 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
14.63%
chance
27
33820
Option
Votes
YES
NO
24158
4139
Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
Dec 26, 5:09 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
37.25%
chance
25
7899
Option
Votes
YES
NO
12989
7710
Will there be a new census before 2030?
Aug 7, 4:47 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
40%
chance
12
417
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1225
816
Will the US enact export controls on energy products in 2026?
Mar 13, 1:47 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
36.82%
chance
10
218
Option
Votes
NO
YES
103
95
Will UCAR/NCAR win its lawsuit against the Trump administration/US government?
Mar 17, 5:05 AM
Dec 31, 6:04 AM
69.23%
chance
1
50
Option
Votes
NO
YES
150
67
Will the US launch a Manhattan Project / Apollo Program for AI safety by EOY 2030?
Jun 21, 10:17 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
40.34%
chance
6
35
Option
Votes
YES
NO
122
82
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