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Top stories

Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut

Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut

Authors

6

7 months ago

US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment

US Economy Expands 3.3% in Second Quarter on Trade, Investment

Authors

30

7 months ago

US Revokes Intel and Samsung China Waivers, Extends Some Tariff Exemptions

US Revokes Intel and Samsung China Waivers, Extends Some Tariff Exemptions

Authors

28

7 months ago

Intel Gets $5.7 Billion as U.S. Takes 10% Stake

Authors

14

7 months ago

US Goods Trade Deficit Jumps to $104 Billion on July Import Surge

Authors

5

7 months ago

US Orders Outpace Forecast Even as Consumer Confidence Slips

Authors

45

7 months ago

US Domestic Policy

US Commerce Voids $7.4 Billion Biden-Era Semiconductor Grant Deal With Natcast Under CHIPS Act, Impacting ASU Lab and Chip Supply Chain

Authors

14

7 months ago

US Domestic Policy

IRS Issues Sections 45Y and 48E Guidance for Wind and Solar Tax Credits Amid Commerce’s Section 232 Probe on Offshore Wind Costs

Authors

6

7 months ago

Prediction markets for Commerce Department

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.3%chance

196946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13549

7392

Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland?

Jan 17, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.79%chance

281832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

322

31

Will there be a new census before 2030?

Aug 7, 4:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.11%chance

11402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

802

US Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?

Aug 7, 9:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.31%chance

6268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1168

856

Will the Defense Production Act be invoked in 2026?

Feb 25, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.35%chance

6155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

73

Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?

Feb 16, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.12%chance

280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

86

Will Commerce issue a final affirmative AD determination (A-821-840) by Jun 30, 2026?

Feb 16, 5:48 PMJul 1, 5:48 PM

76.72%chance

273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1073

977

Will the US enact export controls on energy products in 2026?

Mar 13, 1:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.28%chance

565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

96

Will UCAR/NCAR win its lawsuit against the Trump administration/US government?

Mar 17, 5:05 AMDec 31, 6:04 AM

69.23%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

67

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