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Prediction markets for Committee

Will there be a change in the members of the CCP Politburo Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

Oct 17, 2:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.35%chance

41221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1209

127

Will Elon Musk testify before a House committee during 2025?

Nov 21, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.25%chance

3500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

448

206

Will Elon Musk testify before a Senate committee during 2025?

Nov 21, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.85%chance

3473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

570

222

Mike from PA (Central_Committee) Stock (Permanent)

Nov 14, 5:20 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

10441

OptionProbability

YES

NO

248

161

Will Hu Chunhua be added to the Chinese Communist Party Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

Aug 21, 2:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.23%chance

2441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

Will any member of the Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?

Nov 2, 12:26 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

57.86%chance

499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

95

85

Any current member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash

Aug 23, 5:48 PMAug 13, 6:59 AM

23%chance

466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

58

Will ROC (Russian Olympic Committee) participate in the 2026 Winter Olympic Games?

Jan 22, 1:54 PMFeb 7, 7:59 AM

28.32%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

74

When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?

Mar 27, 3:12 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM

350

OptionProbability

2032

2037

2042

2047

2027

23

23

23

22

8

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2032?

Nov 2, 1:14 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

40.34%chance

442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

96

84

Any current or past member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash

Aug 23, 5:48 PMAug 13, 6:59 AM

32.06%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

71

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2027?

Nov 2, 1:11 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

60

42

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