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Prediction markets for Commodities and Global Markets

Will global iron + steel slag output exceed 600 million tonnes in 2030?

Nov 26, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.01%chance

1317381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13630

7337

Will canadian dollars drop below $0.70 usd before June 2026

Oct 24, 2:46 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

39.07%chance

91326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

801

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30?

Mar 11, 11:42 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

22.71%chance

201087

OptionVotes

YES

NO

184

54

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.32%chance

12941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1553

644

Will U.S. production of battery-grade lithium exceed 10% of global supply by the end of 2030?

Dec 10, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.27%chance

16935

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

88

Will the APT tungsten price exceed $500/mtu on April 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 9:07 PMApr 1, 9:06 PM

96.3%chance

4430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

510

20

Will global vanadium production (mine + co-product, contained V) in 2027 be at least 140,000 tonnes of V?

Nov 26, 5:36 AMMar 29, 10:59 PM

45.27%chance

6255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Will the share of global silver production disrupted by violence in Mexico exceed 10% on May 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 9:08 PMMay 1, 9:07 PM

17.12%chance

2120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

45

Will the APT tungsten price exceed $460/mtu on May 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 9:08 PMMay 1, 9:06 PM

80%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

200

50

Will the share of global silver production disrupted by violence in Mexico exceed 5% on April 1, 2026?

Mar 2, 9:07 PMApr 1, 9:07 PM

23.58%chance

280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

56

Will Sangdong mine output exceed 20% of non-Chinese tungsten supply on April 1, 2027?

Mar 2, 6:11 PMApr 1, 6:10 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

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