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Prediction markets for Common Stock

Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?

Jul 23, 12:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.43%chance

7146490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1239

807

Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $75 by the end of 2026?

Aug 5, 12:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.67%chance

3812886

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2893

346

Which of these prices will NVIDIA stock close above before January 1, 2027?

Jul 11, 3:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17530

OptionProbability

$240 (USD)

$260 (USD)

$280 (USD)

$300 (USD)

$320 (USD)

$340 (USD)

$360 (USD)

91

71

56

46

36

24

11

Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+?

Aug 11, 1:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.24%chance

13363

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

37

Will Anthropic stock begin public trading on or before November 6, 2026?

Sep 9, 6:54 PMNov 7, 5:00 AM

41.42%chance

10349

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

99

TSLA pays a dividend before Elon Musk leaves as CEO?

Mar 14, 12:53 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3310

OptionProbability

Elon Musk no longer CEO of TSLA first, before a dividend is paid

TSLA pays a money dividend to common stock first, before Elon Musk leaves as CEO.

63

37

Will the DJIA close up OR down by 1,000 points in a single session by November 12, 2026 (11/12/26)?

Aug 18, 6:23 PMNov 11, 11:59 PM

71.37%chance

391

OptionVotes

NO

YES

158

63

Will the Shiller P/E Ratio hit a new all-time high before Jan 1, 2030?

May 14, 1:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.23%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

150

67

Will Cheesecake Factory stock price close below 88.88 by December 28, 2026? (NASDAQ: CAKE)

Jul 30, 6:00 AMDec 27, 11:59 PM

37.17%chance

230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

[poll/stock - never resolves] How do Americans view Donald Trump’s political rhetoric (independent of politics)?

Dec 29, 7:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

211

OptionProbability

Negative

Positive

Agnostic/Neutral

45

28

28

Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% or more below its all-time high by April 2, 2027? (4/2/27)

Aug 5, 3:03 PMApr 1, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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