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Prediction markets for Commonwealth
OptionProbability
99
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will there still be at least nine Commonwealth Realms in 2028?
May 8, 12:07 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
87.66%chance
121301
OptionVotes
1927
790
OptionVotes
681
15
Will there still be at least three Commonwealth Realms in 2028?
May 8, 12:08 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
95.51%chance
131007
OptionVotes
1795
922
What will be the next fusion project to reach Q=1 scientific breakeven?
Feb 27, 6:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
16933
OptionProbability
76
11
11
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Great Britain and Northern Ireland abolish its monarchy before 2030?
Apr 8, 10:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.4%chance
31780
OptionVotes
1184
958
What will be the next country to join the Commonwealth of Nations?
Feb 20, 1:26 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
10442
OptionProbability
31
30
18
6
6
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
By Dec 31, 2035, will any nuclear fusion power plant have delivered at least 100 MW of net electrical power, 30 day ave.
Oct 3, 11:21 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
10.57%chance
5333
OptionVotes
10062
9455
Will any country successfully join the Commonwealth before 2030?
May 8, 11:42 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
39.62%chance
9263
OptionVotes
191
151
Will there still be at least six Commonwealth Realms in 2028?
May 8, 12:08 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
88.69%chance
6160
OptionVotes
330
125
Will there still be at least twelve Commonwealth Realms in 2028?
May 8, 12:03 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
70%chance
5145
OptionVotes
168
107
OptionVotes
183
104