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Prediction markets for Communication Services

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

39.34%chance

7433886

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1242

805

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.02%chance

7532370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25533

3383

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

43%chance

8712384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027

Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.07%chance

1298015

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1846

1470

Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?

Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

79.95%chance

73854

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1059

972

Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?

Jun 5, 9:53 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

7.05%chance

213324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3630

275

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.77%chance

541909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

1067

Will it become practically impossible to verify the authenticity of humans using the internet by 2026?

Mar 18, 12:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.67%chance

341408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1311

694

500 Patients Get Openwater Cancer Treatment by 2029

Jan 14, 2:40 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.81%chance

8975

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1741

574

Will there be evidence of large scale data pollution operations by the end of 2025?

Aug 17, 9:26 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

72.53%chance

25694

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1206

900

Fortune 500 company attributes >10% productivity gains to AI by Q2 2026?

Aug 8, 12:43 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

62.49%chance

9596

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1291

775

Which sector of the US stock market (S&P 500) will perform the best in 2025?

Jan 1, 9:02 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5431

OptionProbability

Technology (XLK)

Energy (XLE)

Industrials (XLI)

Health Care (XLV)

Utilities (XLU)

Communication Services (XLC)

Consumer Discretionary (XLY)

Consumer Staples (XLP)

Financials (XLF)

Materials (XLB)

Real Estate (XLRE)

20

17

14

11

8

6

5

5

5

5

5

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