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Top stories

Jordan and Palestine Decry Israeli Minister’s Claim Over Jordan River Banks

Jordan and Palestine Decry Israeli Minister’s Claim Over Jordan River Banks

Authors

3

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Communications

Will communications transmission tech based on quantum entanglement exist and be in use before 2030?

Jun 26, 9:07 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.66%chance

416244

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2059

849

Will we be able to communicate with dogs in English, by 2030?

May 4, 3:13 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

17.8%chance

844295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2281

1095

Will we be able to decode dolphin communication by 2030?

Jan 21, 5:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.16%chance

313552

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

909

Will faster-than-light communication be possible before 2300?

Mar 17, 6:20 PMJan 1, 4:00 AM

5.59%chance

182083

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1766

876

Will Breakthrough Listen detect any intelligent extraterrestrial communications by 2026?

Mar 3, 4:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.19%chance

151831

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1923

872

Will AI (or humans) decode and translate whale communication patterns to where humans can understand complex inter-whale discussions by the end of 2034?

Jan 18, 5:00 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

82.1%chance

271672

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1557

818

Will monkey and human communicate via Neuralink before 2030?

Jul 28, 8:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.97%chance

15837

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1316

879

Complex communication with a non-human animal by 2050

Jun 15, 10:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

50%chance

9595

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Animal Communication be Translated by 2030?

Dec 19, 10:41 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

37.4%chance

16532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

997

943

Trump is suing the gov’t for the Mar-a-Lago raid. Will the FBI fail or refuse to provide subpoenaed communications?

Aug 13, 12:35 AMAug 13, 3:59 AM

55.24%chance

4400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1111

900

Will "Authors Have a Responsibility to Communicate ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 3, 10:02 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

12.72%chance

3118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

985

When will Vikram provide the communication boxes?

Feb 4, 8:18 PMDec 31, 8:18 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

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